Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:49:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A1
0xa10d…dc71
crypto · 479 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$6 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses267 / 212
Open positions0
Markets (closed)479 / 479
History coverage8d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day79.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 0 History 479 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$30
7 days+$5
14 days+$6
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$6 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$6 +100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$13 +55%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$6 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$7 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$7 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$6 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$11 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$6 +70%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$3 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$5 -63%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$5 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$9 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$5 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$5 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$5 -56%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% +$49
other 9% −$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $8 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $6 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 28m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $0 32m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $2 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $6 33m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $23 47m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $8 51m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $9 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $15 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $7 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 451 -0.3% -9.8% 57% 50% -9.4%
≤30d 479 -0.4% -9.9% 56% 49% -9.3%
≤90d 479 -0.4% -9.9% 56% 49% -9.3%
all 479 -0.4% -9.9% 56% 49% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover79.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 49% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 43% -18.0%
15% -26.4% 38% -25.9%
20% -33.6% 34% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1021 history records