trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 62% | 0% | -10.0% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 50% | 6% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 50% | 6% | -10.1% |
| all | 27 | -7.0% | -15.9% | 52% | 4% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.9% | 4% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -23.9% | 0% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -31.3% | 0% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -38.0% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Yes | 3¢ | 1¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-74%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 20 | $46 | +$1 | +1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | Jun 20 | $41 | $0 | +1% |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 19 | $43 | −$2 | -4% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 19 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $59 | −$1 | -2% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 02 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 01 | $52 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 30 | $35 | −$1 | -3% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 30 | $43 | $0 | -0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 30 | $48 | $0 | -1% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 29 | $2 | $0 | +16% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 28 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 28 | $48 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 07 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | Jul 01 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York C | Jun 26 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Solana dip to $140 in June? | Jun 23 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Canadian GP pole? | Jun 16 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the SPD be part of the next German government? | May 07 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Liberal Party win less than 35% of the vote in the 2025 Canad | Apr 23 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Another team win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 23 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Amazon buy TikTok? | Apr 22 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 22 | $11 | $0 | -1% |