trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 25 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1,117 | $1,116 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Grigor Dimitrov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | Jun 18 | $53 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 18 | $1,136 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 18 | $1,222 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | Apr 19 | $69 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 19 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Apr 19 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Apr 16 | $39 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 16 | $46 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April? | Apr 16 | $775 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | Apr 16 | $34 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Apr 16 | $791 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 15 | $796 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 15 | $64 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026? | Apr 15 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 15 | $795 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 14 | $804 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 14 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next | Apr 14 | $833 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Liudmila Samsonova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | Apr 14 | $774 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on | Apr 01 | $132 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 01 | $61 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 01 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Zach Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Mar 27 | $145 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 27 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Solana reach $150 in March? | Mar 27 | $26 | $0 | -0% |