Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:15:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
A0 0xa0fe…234b crypto 299 markets active 16h ago coverage 135d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$387 (+2%) realized +$387 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate78%233W / 66L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$64per market
Trades / day8.5pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$119
7 days+$119
14 days+$119
30 days+$119
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% +$675
other 4% −$445
sports 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -10.6% -19.1% 69% 28% -5.4%
≤30d 32 -10.6% -19.1% 69% 28% -5.4%
≤90d 131 +3.1% -6.7% 76% 48% -2.1%
all 299 +0.4% -9.1% 78% 33% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover8.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.1% 33% -8.4%
10% -17.8% 19% -17.2%
15% -25.8% 9% -25.2%
20% -33.1% 5% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +8% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
56% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late +3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$24 · ×0.29 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.17 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

135d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$387
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses233 / 66
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)299 / 299
History coverage135d
Avg bet$64
Trades / day8.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 299 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2PM ET Jun 19 $201 +$19 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 19 $101 +$8 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 19 $301 +$19 +6%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 19 $201 +$13 +7%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 19 $101 +$10 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 19 $104 +$35 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 19 $102 −$102 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 19 $101 +$10 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 19 $90 +$10 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 19 $90 +$10 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 19 $202 +$23 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$9 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 19 $204 +$12 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 19 $100 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 19 $100 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 19 $79 +$15 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 19 $9 −$4 -41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $121 +$12 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $103 +$91 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 18 $55 −$30 -54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $37 −$20 -55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 18 $24 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 18 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 18 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 18 $26 −$8 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 18 $46 +$15 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 18 $17 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 18 $8 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 18 $11 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET May 18 $6 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET May 18 $122 +$42 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET May 18 $100 +$6 +6%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET May 18 $100 +$4 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET May 18 $101 +$13 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET May 18 $300 +$3 +1%
Shanghai Sharks vs. Beijing Ducks May 15 $2 $0 +1%
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers May 15 $4 $0 +0%
Shanghai Sharks vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin May 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET May 06 $10 +$5 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET May 04 $21 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET May 04 $11 +$4 +37%
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards May 03 $15 +$3 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET May 02 $102 +$23 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET May 02 $18 −$8 -45%
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin May 01 $2 +$4 +188%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET May 01 $2 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET May 01 $36 +$13 +35%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $101 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $201 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $101 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $63 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $54 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $24 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $10 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $11 16h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $201 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $133 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $6 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $104 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $101 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $101 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $102 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $90 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $40 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $23 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $13 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $202 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $36 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $9 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $8 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $5 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $51 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1386 history records