Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:23:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa0f8…b80d
other · 5 markets active 116d ago
0.0score
+$303,947 +159%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$303,947 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$303,947
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses3 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage7d
Avg bet$38,221
Trades / day45.4
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 0 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million? Yes 39¢ $195 $0 −$195 (-100%)
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million? Yes 24¢ $1,187 $0 −$1,187 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 mi Feb 16 $57,306 +$41,509 +72%
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 mi Feb 16 $22,297 +$108,867 +488%
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 mi Feb 16 $110,119 +$154,954 +141%
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 mi Feb 16 $1,187 −$1,187 -100%
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 mi Feb 16 $195 −$195 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$303,947
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 mi BUY Yes 24¢ $155 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 mi BUY Yes 24¢ $3 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 mi BUY Yes 24¢ $147 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 mi BUY Yes 24¢ $31 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 mi BUY Yes 24¢ $94 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 mi BUY Yes 24¢ $142 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 mi BUY Yes 24¢ $2 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 mi BUY Yes 39¢ $1 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 mi BUY Yes 24¢ $370 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 mi BUY Yes 24¢ $4 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 mi BUY Yes 39¢ $194 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 mi BUY Yes 30¢ $20 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 mi BUY Yes 24¢ $7 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 mi BUY Yes 23¢ $13 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 mi BUY Yes 24¢ $100 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 mi BUY Yes 23¢ $100 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 mi BUY Yes 57¢ $6,994 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 mi BUY Yes 57¢ $633 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 mi BUY Yes 57¢ $950 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 mi BUY Yes 57¢ $10 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 mi BUY Yes 57¢ $1 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 mi BUY Yes 57¢ $3 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 mi BUY Yes 57¢ $1 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 mi BUY Yes 57¢ $3 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 mi BUY Yes 57¢ $566 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 mi BUY Yes 57¢ $12,644 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 mi BUY Yes 57¢ $9 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 mi BUY Yes 57¢ $4 116d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 mi BUY Yes 57¢ $19 117d
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 mi BUY Yes 57¢ $31 117d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+81.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 5 +100.3% +81.2% 60% 60% +134.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover45.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +81.2% 60% +134.4%
10% +63.9% 60% +111.9%
15% ← realistic here +48.0% 60% +91.5%
20% +33.5% 60% +72.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 332 history records