trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million? | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | $195 | $0 | −$195 (-100%) |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | $1,187 | $0 | −$1,187 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 mi | Feb 16 | $57,306 | +$41,509 | +72% |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 mi | Feb 16 | $22,297 | +$108,867 | +488% |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 mi | Feb 16 | $110,119 | +$154,954 | +141% |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 mi | Feb 16 | $1,187 | −$1,187 | -100% |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 mi | Feb 16 | $195 | −$195 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 5 | +100.3% | +81.2% | 60% | 60% | +134.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +81.2% | 60% | +134.4% |
| 10% | +63.9% | 60% | +111.9% |
| 15% ← realistic here | +48.0% | 60% | +91.5% |
| 20% | +33.5% | 60% | +72.7% |