Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:18:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa0f7…b576
other · 105 markets active 2h ago
1.0score
−$43 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$43 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized−$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)9%
Wins / losses9 / 95
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)104 / 105
History coverage82d
Avg bet$106
Trades / day3.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit51%
Chart Positions 1 History 104 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 100¢ 100¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 11 $20 $0 -0%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 10 $21 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $106 $0 -0%
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 08 $102 $0 -0%
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 05 $12 $0 -0%
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 04 $16 $0 -0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $16 $0 -0%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 02 $204 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May? Jun 02 $38 $0 +0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 01 $18 $0 -0%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 31 $20 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee May 30 $17 $0 -0%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 24 $18 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 23 $15 $0 -0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 17 $302 $0 -0%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 17 $87 $0 -0%
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 May 16 $93 $0 -0%
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? May 14 $86 $0 -0%
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? May 14 $97 $0 -0%
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 13 $91 $0 -0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 11 $260 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? May 10 $91 $0 -0%
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? May 09 $90 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me May 08 $93 $0 -0%
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 07 $353 $0 -0%
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 06 $94 $0 -0%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 May 05 $182 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me May 05 $97 $0 -0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 03 $189 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 02 $96 $0 -0%
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 02 $92 $0 -0%
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? May 01 $269 $0 -0%
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? Apr 30 $88 $0 -0%
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 28 $97 $0 -0%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 26 $186 $0 -0%
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026? Apr 26 $95 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me Apr 25 $91 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 25 $89 $0 +0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 24 $92 $0 -0%
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 24 $187 $0 -0%
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 20 $89 $0 -0%
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 19 $185 $0 -0%
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 18 $303 $0 -0%
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 18 $184 $0 -0%
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 16 $183 $0 -0%
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 16 $178 $0 -0%
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 16 $91 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 15 $91 $0 -0%
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? Apr 14 $188 $0 -0%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 14 $289 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 63% −$15
politics 20% −$2
sports 9% −$25
economics 4% −$1
tech 3% $0
world 1% $0
culture 1% $0
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $20 1h
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $20 37h
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $20 42h
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $21 2d
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $21 2d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $16 3d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $16 3d
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $15 4d
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $15 4d
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $12 7d
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $12 7d
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $16 8d
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $16 8d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $16 9d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $16 9d
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $12 10d
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $12 10d
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $18 11d
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $18 11d
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $20 12d
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $20 12d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 99¢ $17 13d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $17 13d
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $18 19d
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $18 19d
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $38 20d
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $15 20d
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $15 20d
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $92 26d
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $92 26d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 19 -0.1% -9.6% 5% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 104 -1.2% -10.6% 9% 6% -9.9%
all 104 -1.2% -10.6% 9% 6% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.6% 6% -9.9%
10% -19.1% 6% -18.5%
15% -27.0% 5% -26.4%
20% -34.1% 3% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.43 · official $20.43 (match) · 307 history records