Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:18:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa0e8…2e1d
other · 3 markets active 2h ago
6.5score
+$3 +21%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Net worth$2
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses2 / 0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)2 / 3
History coverage2d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day1.8
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 1 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 85% +$2
crypto 15% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes $2 1h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 86¢ $10 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+22.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +35.3% +22.4% 100% 100% +10.7%
≤30d 2 +35.3% +22.4% 100% 100% +10.7%
≤90d 2 +35.3% +22.4% 100% 100% +10.7%
all 2 +35.3% +22.4% 100% 100% +10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +22.4% 100% +10.7%
10% +10.7% 50% +0.1%
15% -0.0% 50% -9.5%
20% -9.8% 50% -18.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.84 · official $1.84 (match) · 6 history records