Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:10:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa0e8…4a74
crypto · 390 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$26 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$26 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses343 / 47
Open positions0
Markets (closed)390 / 390
History coverage4d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day166.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 390 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$26
14 days−$26
30 days−$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 390 +0.0% -9.5% 88% 9% -11.9%
≤30d 390 +0.0% -9.5% 88% 9% -11.9%
≤90d 390 +0.0% -9.5% 88% 9% -11.9%
all 390 +0.0% -9.5% 88% 9% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover166.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 9% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 4% -20.3%
15% -26.1% 2% -28.0%
20% -33.3% 2% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 988 history records