trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -2.0% | -11.4% | 0% | 0% | -11.0% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -2.0% | -11.4% | 0% | 0% | -11.0% |
| all | 25 | -1.7% | -11.1% | 48% | 0% | -10.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.1% | 0% | -10.5% |
| 10% | -19.6% | 0% | -19.0% |
| 15% | -27.4% | 0% | -26.8% |
| 20% | -34.5% | 0% | -34.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 47¢ | 52¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+11%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 18 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 17 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | May 26 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 26 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 25 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 24 | $21 | −$3 | -12% |
| Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025? | Dec 13 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? | Jul 01 | $13 | −$2 | -18% |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30? | Jun 07 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 07 | $1 | $0 | -30% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 04 | $15 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting? | Jun 04 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft buy TikTok? | Jun 04 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 03 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in May? | Jun 02 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| ChatGPT #1 app May 9? | May 08 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 08 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2025? | May 07 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tim Stokely buy TikTok before July? | May 07 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Los Angeles Rams? | May 07 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 07 | $15 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will egg prices be between $5.25 and $5.50 in March? | Mar 29 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Dillon Danis win the match? | Mar 28 | $14 | $0 | -2% |