Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa0e6…fa86
crypto · 1120 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,533 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,549 · open +$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$76
Realized−$2,549
Unrealized+$16
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses535 / 701
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1236 / 1120
History coverage74d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day37.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1236 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,303
7 days−$1,314
14 days−$1,523
30 days−$1,427
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 56¢ 70¢ $60 $76 +$16 (+26%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Spread: Celtics (-8.5) Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$1,213
sports 1% +$2
other 1% +$27
weather 0% −$8
politics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $28 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $51 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $51 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $36 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $20 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $0 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $2 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $26 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $21 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $8 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $21 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $1 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $20 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $20 18m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $51 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $51 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $2 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $17 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $21 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $5 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $16 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $21 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $20 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 30m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-26.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 225 -64.0% -67.4% 25% 15% -53.9%
≤30d 387 -40.1% -45.8% 39% 28% -35.3%
≤90d 1236 -18.5% -26.3% 43% 37% -23.5%
all 1236 -18.5% -26.3% 43% 37% -23.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.3% 37% -23.5%
10% ← realistic here -33.3% 32% -30.8%
15% -39.8% 28% -37.5%
20% -45.7% 23% -43.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $75.52 · official $61.49 · 3500 history records