Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:41:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa0e4…929d
sports · 31 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$55 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$43 · open +$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$122
Realized+$43
Unrealized+$12
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses30 / 0
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)30 / 31
History coverage4d
Avg bet$63
Trades / day13.9
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 30 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32
7 days+$43
14 days+$43
30 days+$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Paper Rex 90¢ 100¢ $110 $122 +$12 (+11%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5) Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5) Jun 12 $102 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Jun 12 $108 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $104 +$4 +4%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $102 +$2 +2%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Jun 11 $92 +$10 +11%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas Jun 11 $89 +$3 +3%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $84 +$5 +6%
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Jun 11 $83 +$2 +2%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 209.5 Jun 11 $82 +$1 +1%
Spread: Toronto Tempo (-8.5) Jun 11 $25 $0 +1%
1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Jun 11 $53 +$1 +1%
1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5) Jun 11 $3 $0 +1%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 10 $23 +$2 +7%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $55 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 10 $78 +$1 +1%
Game Handicap: EDGY (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (+1.5) Jun 10 $77 +$1 +1%
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $76 +$1 +1%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5) Jun 10 $3 $0 +13%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5 Jun 10 $38 $0 +1%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 10 $53 +$1 +2%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5 Jun 10 $21 $0 +2%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $73 +$1 +1%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $51 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $72 +$1 +1%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $71 +$1 +1%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team (BO3) - Asia Jun 09 $70 +$1 +2%
Spread: Knicks (-22.5) Jun 09 $68 +$1 +1%
Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5) Jun 09 $23 $0 +2%
Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5) Jun 09 $45 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$55
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Paper Rex 90¢ $110 1h
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5) BUY Dallas Wings 99¢ $102 13h
Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5) BUY Dallas Wings 98¢ $7 13h
Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5) BUY Dallas Wings 98¢ $0 13h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs SELL Marsborne 100¢ $109 14h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY Marsborne 99¢ $108 14h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 96¢ $57 26h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 96¢ $47 26h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 100¢ $104 26h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 98¢ $102 27h
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia SELL Top Esports Challenger 100¢ $102 27h
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia BUY Top Esports Challenger 90¢ $7 29h
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia BUY Top Esports Challenger 90¢ $84 29h
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas SELL KT Rolster Challengers 100¢ $92 30h
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas BUY KT Rolster Challengers 97¢ $22 31h
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas BUY KT Rolster Challengers 97¢ $67 31h
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner SELL Saigon Warriors 100¢ $89 32h
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner BUY Saigon Warriors 94¢ $84 34h
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) BUY Knicks 98¢ $83 37h
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 209.5 SELL Over 100¢ $83 37h
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 209.5 BUY Over 99¢ $82 37h
Spread: Toronto Tempo (-8.5) BUY Connecticut Sun 99¢ $25 38h
1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Spurs 99¢ $53 38h
1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5) BUY Spurs 99¢ $3 39h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 98¢ $55 2d
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group BUY Misa Esports 93¢ $23 2d
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group BUY SPARTA 99¢ $78 2d
Game Handicap: EDGY (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (+1.5) SELL CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 100¢ $77 2d
Game Handicap: EDGY (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (+1.5) BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 99¢ $6 2d
Game Handicap: EDGY (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (+1.5) BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 99¢ $71 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 +2.6% -7.2% 100% 7% -7.4%
≤30d 30 +2.6% -7.2% 100% 7% -7.4%
≤90d 30 +2.6% -7.2% 100% 7% -7.4%
all 30 +2.6% -7.2% 100% 7% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.2% 7% -7.4%
10% -16.1% 0% -16.3%
15% -24.2% 0% -24.4%
20% -31.6% 0% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $122.27 · official $122.27 (match) · 67 history records