Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:59:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa0d3…5b5e
sports · 114 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
−$4,164 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,567 · open +$1,403
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22,198
Realized−$5,567
Unrealized+$1,403
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses63 / 44
Whale WR (big bets)59%
Est. fees paid−$379
Open positions7
Markets (closed)107 / 114
History coverage242d
Avg bet$803
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 7 History 107 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,994
7 days−$3,789
14 days−$3,739
30 days−$2,676
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No 72¢ 80¢ $11,914 $13,377 +$1,463 (+12%)
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No 43¢ 61¢ $5,471 $7,720 +$2,249 (+41%)
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No 82¢ 92¢ $853 $947 +$94 (+11%)
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes 50¢ 39¢ $109 $85 −$24 (-22%)
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 59¢ 23¢ $177 $69 −$108 (-61%)
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO? No 86¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will SpaceX raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-98%)
Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in January? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March? No 33¢ 0¢ $165 $0 −$165 (-100%)
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February? No 47¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $127 $0 −$127 (-100%)
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in March? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026? No 39¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January? No 66¢ 0¢ $330 $0 −$330 (-100%)
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in February? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in January? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $246 $0 −$246 (-100%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? Jun 10 $8,360 −$3,994 -48%
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? Jun 10 $1,359 +$243 +18%
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? Jun 10 $5 +$1 +24%
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? Jun 10 $47 +$50 +107%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Jun 10 $1,163 −$219 -19%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Jun 10 $280 +$130 +46%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $150 +$50 +33%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? May 18 $136 +$64 +47%
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May? May 18 $248 −$246 -99%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers May 16 $40 +$60 +152%
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-15? May 15 $30 +$21 +70%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? May 15 $100 −$100 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? May 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April? May 13 $1 +$1 +203%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in April? May 13 $335 +$124 +37%
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026? May 13 $11,118 +$1,142 +10%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April? May 11 $132 −$127 -97%
Chirayu Rana fired? May 01 $116 −$14 -12%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee May 01 $254 +$78 +31%
Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April? Apr 22 $38 −$38 -100%
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? Apr 10 $805 +$91 +11%
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026? Apr 10 $7,394 +$2,611 +35%
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March? Apr 10 $3 +$5 +207%
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in March? Apr 10 $94 +$53 +56%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March? Apr 10 $188 +$12 +6%
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March? Apr 10 $310 +$67 +22%
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.6% in March? Apr 08 $889 +$71 +8%
US forces enter Iran by March 31? Apr 05 $279 +$70 +25%
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%? Apr 03 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in March? Apr 03 $5 −$5 -98%
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Apr 01 $51 +$7 +13%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in January? Mar 26 $165 −$165 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 5? Mar 26 $103 −$103 -100%
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? Mar 26 $246 −$246 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February? Mar 26 $146 −$146 -100%
Will Solana dip to $120 in January? Mar 26 $462 −$462 -100%
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? Mar 26 $195 −$195 -100%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in February? Mar 26 $149 −$143 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on February 1? Mar 26 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? Mar 26 $176 −$176 -100%
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026? Mar 26 $20 −$20 -100%
Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March? Mar 24 $52 −$52 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? Mar 21 $64 −$26 -40%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? Mar 21 $182 +$83 +46%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? Mar 21 $22 +$3 +14%
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Mar 18 $504 +$128 +25%
US recession by end of 2026? Mar 18 $96 −$6 -6%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Mar 18 $205 +$21 +10%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? Mar 18 $241 +$8 +3%
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Mar 18 $360 +$55 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 70% −$4,757
economics 18% −$354
crypto 5% +$674
politics 3% +$262
other 2% +$169
world 1% +$143
finance 1% −$321
tech 0% +$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? BUY No 63¢ $1,117 15m
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $111 2d
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? BUY No 50¢ $947 2d
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? SELL No 91¢ $1,602 2d
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? SELL No 97¢ $7 2d
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? SELL No 99¢ $97 2d
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? BUY No 49¢ $674 2d
Fed rate hike in 2026? SELL No 45¢ $272 2d
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? SELL No 82¢ $410 2d
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? BUY Yes 98¢ $461 3d
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? BUY No 46¢ $237 3d
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? BUY No 39¢ $638 6d
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? BUY No 35¢ $109 13d
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? BUY No 72¢ $2,190 15d
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? BUY No 71¢ $613 15d
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? BUY No 37¢ $19 15d
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? BUY No 37¢ $602 15d
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? BUY No 36¢ $1,119 16d
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? BUY No 34¢ $10 16d
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? BUY No 88¢ $190 21d
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? BUY No 87¢ $459 21d
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? BUY No 85¢ $57 21d
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? BUY No 84¢ $393 21d
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? BUY No 63¢ $9 21d
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? BUY No 63¢ $63 21d
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? BUY No 63¢ $115 21d
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? BUY No 23¢ $64 21d
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? BUY No 61¢ $311 22d
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? BUY No 19¢ $83 23d
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? BUY No 63¢ $50 23d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +21.5% +9.9% 67% 67% -40.1%
≤30d 16 +23.8% +12.1% 69% 62% -19.9%
≤90d 54 -10.2% -18.8% 54% 44% -12.8%
all 107 -7.9% -16.7% 59% 43% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.7% 43% -16.4%
10% -24.7% 32% -24.4%
15% -32.0% 23% -31.7%
20% -38.6% 15% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22,197.86 · official $22,197.86 (match) · 648 history records