Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:45:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa0cd…7af1
crypto · 622 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$660 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14,542 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$49
Realized−$14,542
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses225 / 393
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions1
Markets (closed)618 / 622
History coverage115d
Avg bet$102
Trades / day12.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 1 History 618 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days−$278
14 days−$233
30 days−$233
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-1%)
Bucks vs. Clippers Bucks 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Sho Shimabukuro 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 6? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $197 $0 −$197 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Liberia vs. Sierra Leone end in a draw? Jun 09 $71 −$70 -98%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 09 $5 +$2 +32%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $10 −$1 -6%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $41 −$40 -98%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $101 −$100 -99%
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $101 −$100 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 09 $51 +$8 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 09 $102 −$31 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 09 $51 +$26 +51%
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $10 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$8 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -49%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 09 $7 −$7 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 09 $52 +$44 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 09 $41 −$13 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$9 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 08 $10 +$8 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 08 $59 +$34 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 08 $58 −$7 -12%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $10 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 08 $7 +$7 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 08 $7 +$5 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 08 $7 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 08 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 08 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 08 $51 +$28 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 08 $21 +$33 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 08 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 08 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 08 $51 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$5 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 08 $10 −$5 -49%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 07 $5 $0 -6%
Will Morocco vs. Norway end in a draw? Jun 07 $20 +$49 +238%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$13,912
other 3% −$418
sports 2% −$197
finance 0% −$10
politics 0% $0
world 0% −$3
weather 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $51 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 32¢ $41 28h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 50¢ $10 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $16 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 31h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14 BUY 3¢ $5 31h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 18¢ $10 31h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 61¢ $5 31h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $1 2d
Will Liberia vs. Sierra Leone end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $71 4d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL Yes 91¢ $7 4d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 16¢ $10 4d
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 42¢ $41 5d
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 58¢ $101 5d
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 59¢ $101 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $58 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $51 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $71 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $51 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $51 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $77 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $51 5d
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? SELL Yes 23¢ $9 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $18 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-46.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 -16.6% -24.6% 45% 41% -30.3%
≤30d 72 -15.8% -23.8% 46% 43% -24.2%
≤90d 517 -44.6% -49.9% 35% 32% -47.1%
all 618 -40.3% -46.0% 36% 34% -45.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -46.0% 34% -45.9%
10% -51.1% 29% -51.1%
15% -55.8% 21% -55.8%
20% -60.2% 15% -60.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $49.48 · official $49.48 (match) · 1532 history records