Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:44:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa0cc…f2df
crypto · 971 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,998 -39%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,999 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$1,999
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses528 / 765
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1293 / 971
History coverage8d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day384.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1293 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,991
7 days−$2,038
14 days−$1,999
30 days−$1,999
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 45¢ 48¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +1248%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -65%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -85%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$46
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $14 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $11 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $6 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $8 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $6 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $21 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 42h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-32.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 483 -70.8% -73.6% 14% 12% -66.9%
≤30d 1293 -24.9% -32.1% 41% 37% -36.4%
≤90d 1293 -24.9% -32.1% 41% 37% -36.4%
all 1293 -24.9% -32.1% 41% 37% -36.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover384.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.1% 37% -36.4%
10% ← realistic here -38.6% 31% -42.5%
15% -44.5% 24% -48.1%
20% -50.0% 15% -53.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.95 · official $1.51 (match) · 3500 history records