Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T16:48:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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A0 0xa0cb…a8ba crypto 1283 markets active 0h ago coverage 37d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 37d only
✗ bot/MM pace (68 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$537 (-6%) realized −$537 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate76%976W / 307L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day67.5pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$51
7 days+$82
14 days+$53
30 days+$66
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% −$115
sports 3% −$15
other 1% +$13
world 1% −$2
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (68 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 128 +7.7% -2.5% 87% 59% -0.8%
≤30d 629 +2.0% -7.7% 80% 51% -8.3%
≤90d 1283 -1.6% -11.0% 76% 45% -10.7%
all 1283 -1.6% -11.0% 76% 45% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover67.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 45% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 23% -19.2%
15% -27.3% 11% -27.0%
20% -34.4% 6% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
37% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$4 · ×0.28 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

37d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$537
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses976 / 307
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1283 / 1283
History coverage37d ⚠
Avg bet$7
Trades / day67.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1283 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $15 +$3 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$4 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$4 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$3 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$5 +95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +23%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 46m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 54m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 58m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 59m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records