Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T02:35:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
A0 0xa0c0…1bed sports 48 markets active 1d ago coverage 28d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
! high turnover
Total PnL +$48,654 (+20%) realized +$48,654 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +29% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -11% what you keep after slip
Net edge-11%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate50%24W / 24L
Whale WR67%big bets
Drawdown83%max
Avg bet$5,194per market
Trades / day30.3pace
Fees−$3,413est.
Kalshi-fit88%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14,473
7 days+$37,506
14 days+$83,392
30 days+$47,906
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 88% +$34,779
other 12% +$13,127
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+16.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +35.7% +22.7% 73% 55% +31.7%
≤30d 48 +28.7% +16.5% 50% 40% +7.9%
≤90d 48 +28.7% +16.5% 50% 40% +7.9%
all 48 +28.7% +16.5% 50% 40% +7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover30.3 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +16.5% 40% +7.9%
10% +5.3% 40% -2.5%
15% ← realistic here -4.9% 40% -11.9%
20% -14.2% 40% -20.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +19% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
21% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +29% · $-wt +19% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 67% (≥$9,698) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -23% → late +80% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
15.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$6,835 vs −$4,839 · ×1.41 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.41 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$48,654
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses24 / 24
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$3,413
Open positions0
Markets (closed)48 / 48
History coverage28d
Avg bet$5,194
Trades / day30.3
Drawdown83%
Kalshi-fit88%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 48 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score Jun 28 $5,973 −$5,671 -95%
Jordan vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime? Jun 28 $4,620 +$2,380 +52%
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score Jun 28 $10,906 +$17,764 +163%
Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score Jun 27 $15,912 +$17,238 +108%
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5 Jun 26 $8,250 −$8,250 -100%
Germany leading at halftime? Jun 26 $3,534 +$69 +2%
Spread: France (-2.5) Jun 25 $11,340 −$11,340 -100%
Morocco leading at halftime? Jun 24 $10,664 +$16,043 +150%
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score Jun 24 $9,227 +$7,225 +78%
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score Jun 23 $359 +$14 +4%
Will England win on 2026-06-23? Jun 23 $1,566 +$2,034 +130%
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score Jun 21 $10,303 −$10,289 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims Jun 20 $3,400 +$5,100 +150%
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 20 $9,698 +$10,936 +113%
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score Jun 19 $12,030 +$13,470 +112%
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 19 $10,849 −$10,614 -98%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score Jun 19 $11,921 +$12,834 +108%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $5,500 −$5,500 -100%
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score Jun 18 $2,940 +$3,060 +104%
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $8,766 −$8,766 -100%
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 17 $10,427 +$9,260 +89%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5 Jun 16 $10,412 +$21,538 +207%
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? Jun 16 $9,895 −$9,895 -100%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $805 +$9,246 +1148%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $1,644 +$5,506 +335%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score Jun 15 $5,220 +$3,780 +72%
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $8,915 −$8,913 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $7,875 −$7,875 -100%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $25 $0 +2%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $1,007 −$1,007 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $5,192 −$5,192 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $7,237 −$7,237 -100%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Jun 12 $678 $0 -0%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 09 $71 −$71 -100%
Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 09 $1,155 −$1,155 -100%
Lyon: Matteo Martineau vs Mickael Kaouk Jun 09 $423 −$420 -99%
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $1,605 −$1,605 -100%
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 175.5 Jun 09 $1,950 −$1,950 -100%
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 174.5 Jun 09 $2,571 −$2,571 -100%
Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5 Jun 09 $5,817 −$5,817 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 07 $487 −$487 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Jun 07 $191 $0 -0%
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 06 $2,151 +$1,359 +63%
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands Jun 03 $33 +$1 +2%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 02 $1,521 −$1,520 -100%
Makarska: Tamara Zidansek vs Polona Hercog Jun 02 $49 +$3 +7%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek May 31 $386 +$1,014 +262%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5 May 31 $3,816 +$4,176 +109%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score SELL No 53¢ $302 24h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $338 24h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $9 24h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $48 24h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $2,542 24h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $55 24h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $72 24h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $2,190 24h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $27 24h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $162 24h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $5 24h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $5 24h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $22 24h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $5 24h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $11 24h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $11 24h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $106 24h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $130 24h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $159 24h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $11 24h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $11 24h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $11 24h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $3 24h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $3 24h
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $36 24h
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score SELL No 100¢ $844 25h
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score SELL No 100¢ $639 25h
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score SELL No 100¢ $15,482 25h
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score SELL No 100¢ $509 25h
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score SELL No 100¢ $475 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 922 history records