trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +7.0% | -3.2% | 100% | 0% | -3.2% |
| ≤90d | 28 | +18.9% | +7.6% | 64% | 50% | +5.9% |
| all | 28 | +18.9% | +7.6% | 64% | 50% | +5.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +7.6% | 50% | +5.9% |
| 10% | -2.7% | 29% | -4.2% |
| 15% | -12.1% | 21% | -13.5% |
| 20% | -20.7% | 14% | -22.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 48¢ | 41¢ | $494 | $418 | −$76 (-15%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | May 22 | $156 | +$11 | +7% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | May 20 | $309 | +$86 | +28% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? | May 12 | $4 | +$3 | +65% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | May 08 | $33 | +$7 | +20% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | May 06 | $56 | +$28 | +50% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May? | May 04 | $2 | +$1 | +46% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | May 04 | $31 | +$2 | +5% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | May 01 | $14 | +$2 | +12% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? | Apr 30 | $2 | +$8 | +391% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Apr 18 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | Apr 18 | $71 | +$2 | +3% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April? | Apr 16 | $12 | −$6 | -53% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | Apr 15 | $2 | $0 | -16% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | Apr 15 | $6 | −$1 | -23% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | Apr 14 | $13 | −$3 | -27% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | Apr 14 | $40 | +$5 | +13% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | Apr 09 | $25 | +$4 | +16% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | Apr 09 | $35 | +$19 | +55% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | Apr 09 | $3 | +$1 | +29% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | Apr 07 | $5 | $0 | +7% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Apr 07 | $6 | −$1 | -14% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | Apr 07 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? | Apr 07 | $10 | −$2 | -17% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | Apr 07 | $1 | $0 | -10% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | Apr 02 | $1 | $0 | +36% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 01 | $1 | $0 | +21% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Apr 01 | $20 | +$3 | +17% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Mar 26 | $1 | $0 | -33% |