Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T14:46:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A0 0xa0a2…8613 sports 65 markets active 6d ago coverage 11d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$118 (-1%) realized −$118 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -7% what you keep after slip
Net edge-7%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate52%34W / 31L
Whale WR29%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$243per market
Trades / day11.4pace
Fees−$266est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$190
14 days−$2,850
30 days−$1,260
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$1,260
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)+1.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -14.6% -22.7% 40% 40% -26.0%
≤30d 65 +11.7% +1.0% 52% 52% -17.5%
≤90d 65 +11.7% +1.0% 52% 52% -17.5%
all 65 +11.7% +1.0% 52% 52% -17.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover11.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +1.0% 52% -17.5%
10% -8.6% 51% -25.4%
15% -17.5% 49% -32.6%
20% -25.6% 43% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 20% · top 2 30% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +12% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 29% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +29% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$178 vs −$236 · ×0.75 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$118
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses34 / 31
Whale WR (big bets)29%
Est. fees paid−$266
Open positions0
Markets (closed)65 / 65
History coverage11d
Avg bet$243
Trades / day11.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 65 Trades
no open positions (22 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Felix Gill vs Filippo Romano Jun 10 $99 −$98 -99%
Ilkley: Emerson Jones vs Dalma Galfi Jun 10 $101 −$100 -99%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jun 10 $127 +$74 +58%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Franco Agamenone Jun 10 $101 −$100 -99%
Bratislava: Vitaliy Sachko vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Jun 10 $99 +$130 +132%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 10 $139 −$136 -98%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $101 −$100 -99%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $87 +$154 +177%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $99 +$87 +88%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $101 −$100 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 04 $1,516 −$749 -49%
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5) Jun 04 $204 −$200 -98%
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Viola Turini Jun 04 $997 −$974 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $1,142 −$1,120 -98%
Prostejov: Vitaliy Sachko vs Vit Kopriva Jun 04 $301 +$144 +48%
ITF Wuning: Rina Saigo vs Jiaqi Wang Jun 04 $353 −$347 -98%
Tyler: Braden Shick vs Aidan Mayo Jun 03 $187 −$185 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 03 $997 −$997 -100%
ITF Sumter: Ekaterina Khayrutdinova vs Cadence Brace Jun 03 $213 +$183 +86%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider Jun 03 $18 +$42 +226%
Perugia: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Timofey Skatov Jun 03 $1,017 +$1,229 +121%
Set Handicap: Berrettini (-2.5) vs Arnaldi (+2.5) Jun 03 $102 +$30 +29%
Set Handicap: Berrettini (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5) Jun 03 $595 −$158 -26%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $298 +$399 +134%
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Cobolli Jun 03 $309 −$306 -99%
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Shnaider (+1.5) Jun 03 $215 −$213 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 03 $102 +$125 +123%
Set 1 Winner: Kalinskaya vs Chwalinska Jun 03 $102 +$116 +114%
Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5 Jun 02 $305 +$444 +145%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $101 −$100 -99%
Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Fonseca Jun 02 $101 −$100 -99%
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5) Jun 02 $101 −$100 -99%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Jodar (+2.5) Jun 02 $102 +$176 +172%
Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Zverev Jun 02 $540 +$239 +44%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 02 $304 −$94 -31%
Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5) Jun 02 $102 +$109 +107%
Elina Svitolina vs. Marta Kostyuk: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 02 $102 +$128 +126%
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5) Jun 02 $194 +$106 +54%
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea Jun 02 $301 +$145 +48%
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Kempen/Klepac Jun 02 $51 −$50 -97%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $872 −$197 -23%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Jun 01 $345 +$47 +14%
Set Handicap: Chwalinska (-1.5) vs Parry (+1.5) Jun 01 $101 −$101 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs Fonseca Jun 01 $101 −$101 -100%
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5) Jun 01 $101 −$101 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima Jun 01 $99 −$99 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parry Jun 01 $102 −$102 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda Jun 01 $43 −$43 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Jun 01 $200 −$51 -25%
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-2.5) vs Arnaldi (+2.5) Jun 01 $102 −$100 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Felix Gill vs Filippo Romano BUY Felix Gill 51¢ $88 5d
Ilkley: Emerson Jones vs Dalma Galfi BUY Emerson Jones 55¢ $101 5d
Ilkley: Felix Gill vs Filippo Romano BUY Felix Gill 54¢ $11 5d
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme SELL Kaitlin Quevedo 99¢ $201 6d
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme BUY Kaitlin Quevedo 62¢ $127 6d
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Franco Agamenone BUY Franco Agamenone 51¢ $101 6d
Bratislava: Vitaliy Sachko vs Thanasi Kokkinakis SELL Vitaliy Sachko 99¢ $228 6d
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel BUY Nikola Bartunkova 19¢ $99 6d
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel BUY Nikola Bartunkova 14¢ $40 6d
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics BUY Hubert Hurkacz 63¢ $101 6d
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs SELL James McCabe 99¢ $240 6d
Bratislava: Vitaliy Sachko vs Thanasi Kokkinakis BUY Vitaliy Sachko 42¢ $99 6d
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs BUY James McCabe 35¢ $87 6d
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Kamil Majchrzak 99¢ $185 6d
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 52¢ $99 6d
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu BUY Yibing Wu 76¢ $101 6d
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska BUY Diana Shnaider 62¢ $742 11d
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska SELL Diana Shnaider 61¢ $742 11d
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska BUY Diana Shnaider 62¢ $774 11d
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5) BUY Shnaider 41¢ $204 11d
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Viola Turini BUY Viola Turini 23¢ $997 12d
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva BUY Marta Kostyuk 20¢ $698 12d
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva BUY Marta Kostyuk 55¢ $444 12d
Prostejov: Vitaliy Sachko vs Vit Kopriva SELL Vitaliy Sachko 100¢ $444 12d
Prostejov: Vitaliy Sachko vs Vit Kopriva BUY Vitaliy Sachko 67¢ $301 12d
ITF Wuning: Rina Saigo vs Jiaqi Wang BUY Jiaqi Wang 37¢ $353 12d
Tyler: Braden Shick vs Aidan Mayo BUY Aidan Mayo 47¢ $102 12d
ITF Sumter: Ekaterina Khayrutdinova vs Cadence Brace SELL Cadence Brace 100¢ $396 12d
Tyler: Braden Shick vs Aidan Mayo BUY Aidan Mayo 64¢ $85 12d
ITF Sumter: Ekaterina Khayrutdinova vs Cadence Brace BUY Cadence Brace 53¢ $213 12d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 133 history records