Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:49:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa09c…2fe5
crypto · 682 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$572 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$568 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$86
Realized−$568
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses363 / 309
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions10
Markets (closed)672 / 682
History coverage22d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day130.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 10 History 672 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$234
14 days−$343
30 days−$568
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Over 69¢ 68¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Over 65¢ 61¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-6%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 14¢ 12¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -82%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$4 -17%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$17 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$7 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$5 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $45 −$7 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$9 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$11 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$11 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$7 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $54 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$3 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$7 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $71 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$47 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$8 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$11 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$10 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$9 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $68 −$10 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$9 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$7 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$7 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$9 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$2 -11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$568
other 0% −$2
sports 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $4 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $1 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 27m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $8 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 32m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 38m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 45m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 65¢ $20 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 49m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 308 -3.3% -12.5% 55% 44% -13.3%
≤30d 672 -5.8% -14.8% 54% 44% -14.7%
≤90d 672 -5.8% -14.8% 54% 44% -14.7%
all 672 -5.8% -14.8% 54% 44% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover130.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 44% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.9% 33% -22.8%
15% -30.4% 23% -30.3%
20% -37.2% 19% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $85.62 · official $85.62 (match) · 3500 history records