Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa09b…071e
crypto · 676 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$3,492 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,489 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized+$3,489
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses230 / 446
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Est. fees paid−$138
Open positions1
Markets (closed)676 / 676
History coverage338d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day5.7
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 1 History 676 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$38
7 days−$11
14 days−$69
30 days+$146
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? Up 43¢ 56¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+31%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11? Down 26¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru Delhi Capitals 5¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Sunrisers Hyderabad 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru Jun 12 $5 −$21 -413%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $10 −$2 -23%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $55 $0 +0%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $144 +$56 +39%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $112 −$78 -69%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $372 +$7 +2%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $174 +$21 +12%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $106 +$7 +7%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 9? Jun 08 $20 −$1 -5%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 8? Jun 07 $0 $0 -100%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 03 $145 +$15 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 03 $1 +$6 +574%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 03 $1 +$4 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3? Jun 02 $51 +$1 +2%
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh Jun 02 $3 −$3 -100%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1? Jun 01 $36 −$14 -38%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans Jun 01 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET May 30 $13 −$7 -54%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings May 30 $116 −$51 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals May 29 $32 +$19 +58%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28? May 28 $133 −$85 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League? May 27 $107 −$25 -24%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals May 27 $10 +$9 +94%
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League? May 27 $44 +$24 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET May 27 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 50% +$3,390
sports 29% +$409
politics 9% −$112
finance 7% −$86
crypto 4% −$48
culture 0% +$1
tech 0% −$12
economics 0% −$20
weather 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 43¢ $10 10m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 40¢ $8 20m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 40¢ $8 38m
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 4¢ $8 3h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 5¢ $10 3h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 59¢ $6 5h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 40¢ $38 5h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 52¢ $3 5h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 52¢ $52 5h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 57¢ $1 6h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 57¢ $7 6h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 55¢ $28 6h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 58¢ $29 6h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 49¢ $102 7h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 47¢ $4 7h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 46¢ $90 7h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 50¢ $22 7h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 50¢ $75 7h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 50¢ $3 7h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 52¢ $3 8h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 56¢ $3 8h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 59¢ $3 8h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 58¢ $3 8h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 55¢ $55 9h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 55¢ $55 9h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 40¢ $6 20h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 40¢ $2 20h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 45¢ $10 20h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 21¢ $30 28h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 21¢ $1 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -18.7% -26.4% 44% 22% -6.0%
≤30d 85 -28.1% -34.9% 27% 22% -4.0%
≤90d 503 -34.4% -40.6% 17% 13% -7.9%
all 676 -2.6% -11.9% 34% 31% +6.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.9% 31% +6.2%
10% -20.3% 29% -4.0%
15% -28.0% 28% -13.3%
20% -35.1% 28% -21.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.14 · official $13.14 (match) · 2468 history records