Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:14:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa09b…b549
crypto · 323 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$906 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$906 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$906
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses113 / 209
Open positions1
Markets (closed)322 / 323
History coverage196d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day11.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 322 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$7
14 days−$6
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? Down 54¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 9PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 11AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 12AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 3PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 11PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11PM ET May 16 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? May 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? May 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6PM ET May 12 $2 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12? May 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10AM ET Apr 29 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4AM ET Apr 12 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5PM ET Apr 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4PM ET Apr 11 $86 −$57 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3PM ET Apr 11 $119 −$21 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7AM ET Apr 11 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6AM ET Apr 11 $8 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5AM ET Apr 11 $15 −$14 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Apr 09 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Apr 09 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Apr 09 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9AM ET Apr 09 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8AM ET Apr 09 $11 +$4 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Apr 09 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Apr 09 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Apr 09 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Apr 08 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Apr 08 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Apr 08 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 9? Apr 08 $14 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8? Apr 07 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7AM ET Apr 06 $2 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5AM ET Apr 06 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9PM ET Apr 06 $6 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8PM ET Apr 06 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Apr 06 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8AM ET Apr 04 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6AM ET Apr 04 $3 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4AM ET Apr 04 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3AM ET Apr 04 $31 −$14 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Apr 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11AM ET Apr 02 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Apr 02 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Apr 02 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7AM ET Apr 02 $14 −$4 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Apr 02 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Apr 02 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Apr 01 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Apr 01 $27 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Apr 01 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Apr 01 $25 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$907
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? BUY Down 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? SELL Down 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 60¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 51¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? SELL Up 99¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 25¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 25¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 17¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 5? BUY Down 51¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? BUY Up 32¢ $2 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? BUY Down 31¢ $2 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $3 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12? BUY Up 31¢ $1 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12? BUY Up 53¢ $3 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $4 62d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 62d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $3 62d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 62d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 62d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 62d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $9 62d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $20 62d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $7 62d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $2 62d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-37.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -98.8% -99.0% 0% 0% -99.1%
≤30d 6 -34.3% -40.6% 33% 33% -65.5%
≤90d 102 -17.1% -25.0% 33% 24% -16.2%
all 322 -31.0% -37.6% 35% 28% -26.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -37.6% 28% -26.7%
10% -43.5% 20% -33.7%
15% -49.0% 12% -40.1%
20% -54.0% 7% -46.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.40 · official $1.40 (match) · 2307 history records