Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:20:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa099…8eb3
crypto · 192 markets active 0h ago
3.5score
+$225 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$225 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$225
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses95 / 97
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)192 / 192
Avg bet$32
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown70%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 192 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$101
7 days+$258
14 days+$258
30 days+$258
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$10 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$7 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$4 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$17 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$10 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$8 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$5 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% +$306
sports 8% −$77
other 1% +$13
politics 0% −$17
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $6 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $7 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $2 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 163 -7.3% -16.1% 53% 45% -4.9%
≤30d 163 -7.3% -16.1% 53% 45% -4.9%
≤90d 163 -7.3% -16.1% 53% 45% -4.9%
all 192 -6.2% -15.1% 49% 43% -5.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.1% 43% -5.6%
10% -23.2% 39% -14.7%
15% -30.6% 32% -22.9%
20% -37.4% 22% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $12.56 · 730 history records