Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T08:39:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A0 0xa099…b1d4 sports 153 markets active 0h ago coverage 8d
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (51 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$75 (+2%) realized +$88 · open −$13
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate58%87W / 64L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$22per market
Trades / day50.8pace
Fees−$52est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$68
14 days+$52
30 days+$52
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 96% +$80
other 4% −$36
crypto 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (51 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 141 +1.2% -8.4% 59% 55% -7.5%
≤30d 151 -1.0% -10.4% 58% 54% -8.0%
≤90d 151 -1.0% -10.4% 58% 54% -8.0%
all 151 -1.0% -10.4% 58% 54% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover50.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 54% -8.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 44% -16.8%
15% -26.8% 32% -24.9%
20% -34.0% 13% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +2% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late +3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$10 · ×0.79 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.08 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$88
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses87 / 64
Est. fees paid−$52
Open positions2
Markets (closed)151 / 153
History coverage8d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day50.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 2 History 151 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner T1 Academy 65¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner Yakult Brothers 35¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 27 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner Jun 18 $14 +$6 +40%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 18 $15 +$9 +57%
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs ROSE - Map 2 Winner Jun 18 $12 +$5 +41%
Valorant: Division One vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stag Jun 17 $15 −$3 -21%
Valorant: Alliance Guardians vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America: Sta Jun 17 $14 +$6 +43%
Valorant: Alliance Guardians vs Pigeons - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $14 +$6 +40%
Valorant: Division One vs Team Evictix - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 17 $49 +$6 +12%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $9 −$2 -24%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Jun 17 $50 +$8 +16%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playo Jun 17 $25 +$5 +21%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winner Jun 17 $20 +$14 +68%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $15 +$10 +68%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $20 +$8 +40%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 3 Winner Jun 17 $20 −$20 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner Jun 17 $10 +$8 +76%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - Asia Mast Jun 17 $30 +$9 +31%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner Jun 17 $10 −$10 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $28 −$2 -6%
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $18 +$7 +43%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $20 −$1 -6%
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? Jun 17 $5 −$4 -76%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $15 +$7 +46%
Dota 2: Flame Team vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 16 $24 −$2 -8%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner Jun 16 $14 −$5 -33%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 16 $14 +$6 +40%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 16 $31 −$2 -7%
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 16 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winner Jun 16 $10 +$9 +84%
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group B Jun 16 $15 −$15 -99%
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner Jun 16 $20 −$5 -26%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Jun 16 $31 +$1 +3%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winner Jun 16 $20 −$10 -52%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winner Jun 16 $19 +$6 +32%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner Jun 16 $10 −$1 -9%
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner Jun 16 $20 +$9 +44%
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK - Map 1 Winner Jun 16 $49 −$30 -61%
Dota 2: Mentality Monster vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Jun 16 $15 −$4 -23%
Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Cloud Rising - Game 2 Winner Jun 16 $10 −$10 -99%
Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Cloud Rising - Game 1 Winner Jun 16 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? Jun 15 $5 +$4 +80%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $20 −$8 -41%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 15 $10 −$1 -14%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $20 +$7 +34%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $16 −$8 -49%
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $20 −$20 -99%
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playo Jun 15 $10 +$1 +10%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 15 $20 +$9 +44%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $20 −$20 -99%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 15 $45 +$9 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Resilience 98¢ $20 23m
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Resilience 70¢ $14 44m
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 Academy 65¢ $13 1h
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner SELL Yakult Brothers 39¢ $5 1h
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner BUY Yakult Brothers 35¢ $5 1h
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner SELL Team Resilience 71¢ $30 1h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 Academy 100¢ $24 1h
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Resilience 63¢ $14 1h
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Resilience 75¢ $15 1h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 Academy 63¢ $15 2h
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs ROSE - Map 2 Winner SELL ROSE 99¢ $16 7h
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs ROSE - Map 2 Winner BUY ROSE 70¢ $12 7h
Valorant: Division One vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stag SELL Division One 74¢ $0 9h
Valorant: Division One vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stag SELL Division One 50¢ $12 9h
Valorant: Division One vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stag BUY Division One 62¢ $15 9h
Valorant: Alliance Guardians vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America: Sta SELL Alliance Guardians 100¢ $20 10h
Valorant: Alliance Guardians vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America: Sta BUY Alliance Guardians 70¢ $14 10h
Valorant: Alliance Guardians vs Pigeons - Map 2 Winner SELL Alliance Guardians 98¢ $20 11h
Valorant: Division One vs Team Evictix - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Evictix 70¢ $5 11h
Valorant: Division One vs Team Evictix - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Evictix 70¢ $9 11h
Valorant: Alliance Guardians vs Pigeons - Map 2 Winner BUY Alliance Guardians 70¢ $14 11h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group SELL illwill 25¢ $9 12h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY illwill 13¢ $5 12h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group SELL KOLESIE 50¢ $14 12h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY KOLESIE 35¢ $10 12h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group SELL illwill 67¢ $32 12h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill - Map 2 Winner SELL KOLESIE 41¢ $2 13h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill - Map 2 Winner SELL KOLESIE 49¢ $5 13h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY illwill 71¢ $20 13h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY illwill 70¢ $14 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.01 (match) · 393 history records