trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +13.3% | +2.5% | 43% | 43% | +8.4% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -9.4% | -18.1% | 40% | 40% | +3.8% |
| ≤90d | 107 | -45.1% | -50.3% | 21% | 21% | -45.1% |
| all | 376 | +2.0% | -7.7% | 42% | 41% | -7.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.7% | 41% | -7.1% |
| 10% | -16.6% | 40% | -16.0% |
| 15% | -24.6% | 39% | -24.1% |
| 20% | -32.0% | 38% | -31.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 11¢ | $119 | $113 | −$7 (-6%) |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $52 | $51 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 U.S. Open? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | $49 | $46 | −$4 (-7%) |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $38 | $38 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $34 | $33 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $29 | $28 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina leading at halftime? | Jun 17 | $1,432 | +$1,568 | +109% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1,019 | −$1,008 | -99% |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $43 | +$57 | +134% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $61 | −$60 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $119 | −$118 | -99% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $86 | +$214 | +250% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $92 | −$90 | -98% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 09 | $204 | −$201 | -98% |
| Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 31 | $63 | −$62 | -97% |
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | May 28 | $524 | −$515 | -98% |
| Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 28 | $21 | −$21 | -97% |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 28 | $60 | −$58 | -98% |
| Avalanche vs. Golden Knights | May 27 | $304 | +$296 | +97% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $299 | +$201 | +67% |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres | May 19 | $497 | +$503 | +101% |
| Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship? | May 18 | $39 | +$367 | +933% |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship? | May 17 | $30 | −$25 | -84% |
| Avalanche vs. Wild | May 11 | $412 | −$406 | -98% |
| Sabres vs. Canadiens | May 10 | $191 | −$188 | -98% |
| Wild vs. Avalanche | May 03 | $183 | −$180 | -98% |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 03 | $111 | −$108 | -97% |
| Stars vs. Wild | May 01 | $484 | +$415 | +86% |
| Wild vs. Stars: O/U 5.5 | Apr 29 | $113 | +$97 | +86% |
| Ducks vs. Oilers | Apr 28 | $103 | −$101 | -98% |
| Spread: Sabres (-1.5) | Apr 28 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Oilers vs. Ducks | Apr 27 | $94 | +$103 | +109% |
| Lightning vs. Canadiens | Apr 27 | $384 | −$384 | -100% |
| Hurricanes vs. Senators | Apr 27 | $159 | −$159 | -100% |
| Spread: Bruins (-1.5) | Apr 24 | $69 | −$61 | -90% |
| Utah vs. Golden Knights | Apr 23 | $174 | −$174 | -100% |
| Canadiens vs. Lightning | Apr 23 | $176 | −$176 | -100% |
| Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5 | Apr 22 | $69 | −$55 | -80% |
| Ducks vs. Oilers | Apr 21 | $52 | −$52 | -100% |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | Apr 21 | $84 | −$84 | -100% |
| Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5 | Apr 21 | $74 | −$74 | -100% |
| Wild vs. Stars: O/U 5.5 | Apr 21 | $97 | +$80 | +83% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) | Apr 20 | $48 | −$48 | -100% |
| Spread: Penguins (-1.5) | Apr 20 | $72 | −$72 | -100% |
| Canadiens vs. Lightning | Apr 20 | $76 | +$120 | +158% |
| Bruins vs. Sabres | Apr 20 | $84 | +$122 | +146% |
| Utah vs. Golden Knights | Apr 20 | $413 | +$278 | +67% |
| Spread: Sabres (-1.5) | Apr 20 | $68 | −$44 | -64% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? | Apr 20 | $318 | +$274 | +86% |
| Wild vs. Stars | Apr 19 | $47 | +$51 | +109% |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | Apr 19 | $146 | +$246 | +169% |
| Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5) | Apr 18 | $244 | −$244 | -100% |
| Will Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? | Mar 26 | $84 | −$84 | -100% |
| Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-6.5) | Mar 22 | $422 | −$422 | -100% |
| Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs | Mar 22 | $51 | +$108 | +211% |
| Bruins vs. Red Wings | Mar 22 | $166 | +$184 | +111% |