Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:20:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa08b…855b
crypto · 1909 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$174 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$173 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$45
Realized+$173
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses1304 / 726
Open positions2
Markets (closed)2030 / 1909
History coverage24d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day90.5
Drawdown56%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 2030 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$167
7 days−$44
14 days+$72
30 days+$173
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 94¢ 100¢ $14 $15 +$1 (+7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET Down 90¢ 100¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 92¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 91¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$397
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-25.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 970 -26.2% -33.2% 65% 21% -10.5%
≤30d 2030 -17.3% -25.2% 64% 35% -7.6%
≤90d 2030 -17.3% -25.2% 64% 35% -7.6%
all 2030 -17.3% -25.2% 64% 35% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover90.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.2% 35% -7.6%
10% ← realistic here -32.3% 3% -16.5%
15% -38.9% 1% -24.5%
20% -44.9% 1% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $44.95 · official $44.80 (match) · 3500 history records