Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T07:59:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa08a…dd11
crypto · 14 markets active 2h ago
3.0score
+$31 +30%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$31 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$31
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses7 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)14 / 14
Avg bet$7
Trades / day23.0
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$31
7 days+$31
14 days+$31
30 days+$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$34 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$11 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $61 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +0.5% -9.1% 50% 50% +17.2%
≤30d 14 +0.5% -9.1% 50% 50% +17.2%
≤90d 14 +0.5% -9.1% 50% 50% +17.2%
all 14 +0.5% -9.1% 50% 50% +17.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 50% +17.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 50% +6.0%
15% -25.7% 43% -4.3%
20% -33.0% 43% -13.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 30 history records