trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 20 | -49.0% | -53.9% | 25% | 25% | -35.3% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -18.5% | -26.3% | 40% | 40% | -20.3% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -18.5% | -26.3% | 40% | 40% | -20.3% |
| all | 25 | -18.5% | -26.3% | 40% | 40% | -20.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.3% | 40% | -20.3% |
| 10% | -33.3% | 40% | -28.0% |
| 15% | -39.8% | 40% | -34.9% |
| 20% | -45.7% | 28% | -41.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 41¢ | 40¢ | $30 | $29 | −$1 (-4%) |
| Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals | Yes | 27¢ | 26¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? | Jun 29 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | Jun 29 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance | Jun 29 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Kai Havertz: 1+ goals | Jun 29 | $5 | +$8 | +157% |
| Deniz Undav: 1+ goals | Jun 29 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Kai Havertz: 1+ goals | Jun 25 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Deniz Undav: 1+ goals | Jun 25 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assists | Jun 24 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals | Jun 24 | $10 | +$13 | +128% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Declan Rice: 1+ goals | Jun 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $10 | +$4 | +41% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 24 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Harry Kane: 1+ goals | Jun 23 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Jun 23 | $30 | +$20 | +64% |
| Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goals | Jun 23 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $5 | +$7 | +128% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Jun 23 | $5 | +$9 | +180% |
| Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals | Jun 23 | $4 | +$6 | +158% |
| Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | Jun 22 | $6 | +$2 | +40% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $5 | +$2 | +48% |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Jun 22 | $3 | +$3 | +93% |