Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:30:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa081…b4fb
sports · 406 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$794 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$783 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$50
Realized−$783
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses167 / 233
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions3
Markets (closed)400 / 406
History coverage128d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day6.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit58%
Chart Positions 3 History 400 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$135
7 days−$135
14 days−$135
30 days−$135
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $25 $21 −$4 (-16%)
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $21 $15 −$6 (-29%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $10 $0 -0%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $26 −$2 -6%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $15 −$4 -25%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 11 $103 −$103 -100%
Luis Diaz: Anytime Goalscorer May 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer May 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer May 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 May 07 $8 −$8 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs May 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer May 06 $2 +$1 +73%
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer May 06 $2 +$3 +146%
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score May 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Julian Alvarez: Anytime Goalscorer May 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? May 06 $20 −$20 -100%
76ers vs. Knicks May 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04? May 04 $20 +$29 +141%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04? May 04 $12 +$9 +72%
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 0 Parma Calcio 1913? May 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 0 Parma Calcio 1913? May 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 0 Parma Calcio 1913? May 03 $2 +$15 +711%
Andrea Pinamonti: Anytime Goalscorer May 03 $1 −$1 -100%
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score May 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-02? May 03 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-02? May 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-02? May 03 $9 −$2 -24%
Exact Score: Juventus FC 2 - 0 Hellas Verona FC? May 03 $2 −$2 -100%
76ers vs. Celtics May 03 $7 +$6 +79%
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw? May 02 $5 +$17 +324%
Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5 May 02 $2 −$2 -100%
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5 May 02 $2 +$1 +70%
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5 May 01 $2 +$2 +89%
Viking FK vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 2.5 May 01 $2 +$1 +46%
Warriors vs. Suns Apr 19 $40 −$40 -100%
Will SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio end in a draw? Apr 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Rockets vs. Timberwolves Mar 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Nets vs. Warriors Mar 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Hawks vs. Pistons Mar 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Heat vs. Cavaliers Mar 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Thunder vs. Celtics Mar 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Nuggets vs. Suns Mar 25 $3 +$2 +82%
Lakers vs. Pistons Mar 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Rockets vs. Bulls Mar 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Pacers vs. Magic Mar 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Warriors vs. Mavericks Mar 24 $2 +$2 +88%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 57% −$330
sports 37% −$406
crypto 5% −$70
world 1% +$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 17¢ $3 12h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 19¢ $3 12h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 21h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 21h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States vs. Paraguay end BUY 17¢ $9 21h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 8¢ $24 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $5 27h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 37h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $12 37h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 7¢ $2 42h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? AND Will Mexico vs. Sou BUY 7¢ $3 46h
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup BUY Yes 2¢ $11 47h
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup BUY Yes 2¢ $10 2d
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $15 2d
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 2d
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $15 2d
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $26 2d
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $26 2d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 33¢ $103 13d
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 BUY Under 59¢ $8 37d
Timberwolves vs. Spurs BUY Timberwolves 0¢ $1 37d
Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer BUY Yes 40¢ $1 37d
Luis Diaz: Anytime Goalscorer BUY Yes 41¢ $1 37d
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer BUY Yes 57¢ $2 37d
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer BUY Yes 34¢ $2 37d
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer BUY Yes 40¢ $2 37d
Julian Alvarez: Anytime Goalscorer BUY Yes 23¢ $5 38d
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $10 38d
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? BUY Yes 17¢ $20 38d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-23.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -73.2% -75.7% 0% 0% -77.1%
≤30d 10 -73.2% -75.7% 0% 0% -77.1%
≤90d 60 -27.6% -34.5% 28% 28% -53.6%
all 400 -15.6% -23.7% 42% 39% -21.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.7% 39% -21.9%
10% -31.0% 34% -29.4%
15% -37.6% 29% -36.2%
20% -43.8% 23% -42.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $50.28 · official $52.28 · 1015 history records