Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:28:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa073…a3ba
sports · 1021 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,101 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,043 · open −$58
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$177
Realized−$3,043
Unrealized−$58
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses689 / 627
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Est. fees paid−$591
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1316 / 1021
History coverage77d
Avg bet$66
Trades / day35.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1316 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,359
7 days−$3,735
14 days−$2,870
30 days−$2,998
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Vitality 76¢ 100¢ $100 $131 +$31 (+32%)
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 1 Winner fnatic 78¢ 100¢ $35 $45 +$10 (+28%)
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs Nuclear TigeRES 68¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+47%)
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs STATE 76¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner Passion UA 74¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HOTU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffs Leo Team 25¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winner ECSTATIC 76¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Voca (BO3) - FRAG Group D Voca 48¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #4 Playoffs Rooster 71¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 Winner Rebels Gaming 69¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner RUSTEC 74¢ 0¢ $114 $0 −$114 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: magic vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs magic 60¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs AaB Esport (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs AM Gaming 73¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BOSS vs LAG Gaming (BO3) - Dust2.us Eagle Masters Group Stage LAG Gaming 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 Playoffs VP.Prodigy 42¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HOTU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoff Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs ENCE Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualif Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Team Aether - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$61 -356%
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Se Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutc Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$4 -11890%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stag Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Wildcard (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Gr Jun 13 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% +$1,574
crypto 3% −$79
other 1% +$156
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 1 Winner BUY fnatic 78¢ $35 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 76¢ $101 1h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 75¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 75¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 75¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 75¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 75¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 75¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 75¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 75¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 75¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 75¢ $23 1h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 75¢ $23 1h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 78¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 78¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 77¢ $16 1h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner BUY STATE 78¢ $57 2h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner BUY STATE 78¢ $43 2h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY RUSTEC 77¢ $100 3h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner BUY RUSTEC 78¢ $90 5h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner BUY RUSTEC 78¢ $5 5h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner BUY RUSTEC 78¢ $5 5h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 64¢ $101 5h
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs XI Esport - Map 2 Winner BUY struggletony 78¢ $20 21h
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs XI Esport - Map 2 Winner BUY struggletony 78¢ $80 21h
Counter-Strike: Invicta vs Sashi Academy - Map 2 Winner BUY Sashi Academy 78¢ $100 21h
Counter-Strike: Invicta vs Sashi Academy - Map 1 Winner BUY Sashi Academy 66¢ $100 22h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Donstu Esports 78¢ $51 22h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Donstu Esports 78¢ $48 22h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY GenOne 75¢ $101 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-27.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 362 -79.4% -81.3% 11% 11% -47.2%
≤30d 537 -51.0% -55.7% 33% 33% -19.2%
≤90d 1316 -19.4% -27.1% 52% 52% -13.4%
all 1316 -19.4% -27.1% 52% 52% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.1% 52% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -34.1% 49% -21.7%
15% -40.5% 27% -29.2%
20% -46.3% 15% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $177.43 · official $176.93 (match) · 3500 history records