Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:00:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A0 0xa06e…8b3c crypto 1733 markets active 13h ago coverage 27d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 26d only
✗ bot/MM pace (115 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$490 (-34%) realized −$490 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate31%496W / 1106L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day115.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$55
7 days−$141
14 days−$141
30 days−$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (115 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 604 -53.9% -58.2% 18% 16% -24.6%
≤30d 1602 -5.7% -14.7% 31% 30% -12.3%
≤90d 1602 -5.7% -14.7% 31% 30% -12.3%
all 1602 -5.7% -14.7% 31% 30% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover115.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.7% 30% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 27% -20.7%
15% -30.3% 26% -28.4%
20% -37.1% 25% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +10% → late -22% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×2.09 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.94 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

27d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$490
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses496 / 1106
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1602 / 1733
History coverage27d ⚠
Avg bet$1
Trades / day115.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1602 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $0 +$4 +18267%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $3 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $0 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records