Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa069…262e
crypto · 349 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$131 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$127 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,272
Realized−$127
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses118 / 213
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions17
Markets (closed)331 / 349
History coverage14d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day91.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 17 History 331 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$450
7 days−$723
14 days−$127
30 days−$127
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $346 $356 +$10 (+3%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $190 $189 −$1 (-0%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $106 $108 +$2 (+2%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $86 $86 −$0 (-1%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $82 $78 −$4 (-4%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $76 $76 −$0 (-1%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $80 $68 −$12 (-15%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $53 $58 +$5 (+10%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $25 $45 +$20 (+80%)
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $48 $39 −$9 (-19%)
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $45 $38 −$8 (-17%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $29 $33 +$4 (+15%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $32 $31 −$1 (-3%)
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $33 $30 −$3 (-9%)
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $25 $22 −$2 (-10%)
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $16 $12 −$4 (-25%)
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +180%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$5 +143%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -50%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $95 −$95 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$5 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -74%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $22 +$18 +83%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +82%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $21 −$1 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 61% +$181
other 25% −$105
sports 14% −$207
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-20.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 181 -35.8% -41.9% 27% 24% -47.4%
≤30d 331 -11.9% -20.3% 36% 31% -13.1%
≤90d 331 -11.9% -20.3% 36% 31% -13.1%
all 331 -11.9% -20.3% 36% 31% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover91.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.3% 31% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -27.9% 25% -21.5%
15% -34.9% 20% -29.0%
20% -41.2% 16% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,271.69 · official $1,271.84 (match) · 1535 history records