Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:44:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa05a…4635
sports · 1114 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,316 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,174 · open −$144
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$734
Realized−$1,174
Unrealized−$144
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses494 / 579
Est. fees paid−$127
Open positions93
Markets (closed)1073 / 1114
History coverage4d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day607.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 93 History 1073 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,642
7 days−$1,174
14 days−$1,174
30 days−$1,174
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 81¢ 90¢ $36 $40 +$4 (+12%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 84¢ 98¢ $22 $25 +$3 (+16%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 55¢ 100¢ $14 $25 +$11 (+82%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Atlanta Braves 53¢ 94¢ $11 $19 +$8 (+75%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 Over 56¢ 59¢ $16 $17 +$1 (+6%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 Under 55¢ 69¢ $13 $16 +$3 (+26%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 69¢ 84¢ $13 $15 +$3 (+21%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 91¢ 100¢ $14 $15 +$1 (+9%)
ITF kiseljak: Josip Simundza vs Yannick Baluska Yannick Baluska 7¢ 50¢ $2 $15 +$13 (+614%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel Alexander Shevchenko 58¢ 58¢ $14 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Miami Marlins 40¢ 38¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-5%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 60¢ 57¢ $13 $12 −$1 (-4%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 52¢ 62¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+18%)
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Lorenzo Sonego 59¢ 58¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-1%)
ITF Hurghada: Aliesia Reva vs Ashleigh Harvey Ashleigh Harvey 12¢ 50¢ $3 $12 +$9 (+317%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 40¢ 40¢ $10 $9 −$0 (-0%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5 Over 66¢ 100¢ $6 $9 +$3 (+51%)
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Flavio Cobolli 66¢ 50¢ $11 $9 −$3 (-25%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5 Under 58¢ 76¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+32%)
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 78¢ 78¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Under 57¢ 88¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+54%)
ITF Varnamo: Patrik Munkhammar vs Max Dahlin Patrik Munkhammar 30¢ 50¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+67%)
ITF kiseljak: Josip Simundza vs Yannick Baluska Josip Simundza 91¢ 50¢ $14 $8 −$6 (-45%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Texas Rangers 47¢ 16¢ $23 $8 −$15 (-66%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5 Under 68¢ 94¢ $5 $8 +$2 (+38%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 13 $3 +$2 +61%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Mert Alkaya Jun 13 $9 −$3 -40%
Libema Open, Qualification: Michael Geerts vs Elias Ymer Jun 13 $6 −$2 -31%
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Emilio Nava Jun 13 $2 +$1 +28%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sean Cuenin vs Anton Arzhankin Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Francisca Jorge vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
ITF Sumter: Whitney Osuigwe vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 13 $19 −$20 -102%
Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
ITF Nyiregyhaza: Gabor Hornung vs Oscar Jose Gutierrez Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 160.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Charlotte Keitel Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 169.5 Jun 13 $81 −$81 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 13 $15 −$10 -66%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ana Giraldi Requena vs Fangyu Shang Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Victoria Bervid vs Laura Hietaranta Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5) Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% +$407
other 4% +$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 61¢ $2 1m
Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5) BUY Washington Nationals 77¢ $2 1m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 63¢ $1 1m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Texas Rangers 21¢ $1 2m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 81¢ $4 3m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Cleveland Guardians 91¢ $15 5m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 52¢ $2 8m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 53¢ $1 8m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 60¢ $0 10m
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Eva Vedder 47¢ $1 10m
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Julia Avdeeva 51¢ $1 10m
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) SELL Atlanta Braves 99¢ $2 11m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 43¢ $2 12m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfi BUY Suzan Lamens 36¢ $1 13m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 53¢ $1 13m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Rebeka Masarova vs Mia Pohan BUY Mia Pohankova 43¢ $2 13m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 62¢ $6 13m
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 78¢ $8 13m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 91¢ $2 15m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 38¢ $3 17m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 12.5 BUY Under 59¢ $1 17m
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Jangjun Kim BUY Jangjun Kim 67¢ $1 19m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 63¢ $1 19m
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5) BUY Texas Rangers 85¢ $2 19m
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Jesper de Jong 64¢ $5 19m
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 58¢ $6 19m
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 34¢ $3 20m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 58¢ $1 21m
Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5) BUY Washington Nationals 56¢ $1 21m
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5) BUY Seattle Mariners 26¢ $1 21m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1073 -3.9% -13.0% 46% 36% -19.2%
≤30d 1073 -3.9% -13.0% 46% 36% -19.2%
≤90d 1073 -3.9% -13.0% 46% 36% -19.2%
all 1073 -3.9% -13.0% 46% 36% -19.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover607.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 36% -19.2%
10% ← realistic here -21.3% 29% -26.9%
15% -28.9% 25% -34.0%
20% -35.9% 20% -40.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $734.37 · official $733.70 (match) · 3500 history records