trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +94.5% | +76.0% | 50% | 50% | +72.9% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +55.6% | +40.8% | 40% | 40% | +48.6% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +55.6% | +40.8% | 40% | 40% | +48.6% |
| all | 15 | +55.6% | +40.8% | 40% | 40% | +48.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +40.8% | 40% | +48.6% |
| 10% | +27.3% | 40% | +34.3% |
| 15% | +15.0% | 40% | +21.4% |
| 20% | +3.8% | 40% | +9.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 11¢ | $18 | $22 | +$4 (+23%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $11 | $12 | +$1 (+11%) |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 51¢ | 50¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 61¢ | 60¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $5 | $4 | −$0 (-10%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Yes | 23¢ | 22¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Cabo Verde? | Yes | 17¢ | 17¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $4 | +$11 | +258% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $2 | +$9 | +440% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $3 | +$2 | +56% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $3 | +$8 | +274% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $3 | +$18 | +593% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$6 | +113% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Jun 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia record the most Player of the Match awards | Jun 01 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 31 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |