Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:37:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa022…72c2
crypto · 33 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$210 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$210 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Net worth$0
Realized−$210
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses10 / 23
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)33 / 33
History coverage94d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 0 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$87
14 days−$87
30 days−$79
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 T1 48¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? Yes 29¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 21? Yes $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 13 $20 −$2 -12%
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $69 −$5 -7%
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $67 −$15 -22%
Will Antonio Rüdiger score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $49 −$11 -23%
Will Germany reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $115 −$16 -14%
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $67 −$10 -15%
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $109 −$12 -12%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $194 −$14 -7%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $31 −$2 -5%
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? May 16 $24 +$19 +78%
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? May 16 $10 −$10 -97%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 01 $46 −$45 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Mar 21 $28 +$24 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Mar 21 $13 −$6 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Mar 21 $26 +$12 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Mar 21 $22 +$29 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Mar 21 $26 −$4 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Mar 21 $40 +$36 +90%
First Blood in Game 3? Mar 21 $3 −$3 -100%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) Mar 21 $25 +$18 +70%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 21? Mar 21 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 19? Mar 19 $17 −$5 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Mar 19 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Mar 19 $9 +$9 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Mar 19 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Mar 19 $16 +$22 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Mar 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Mar 19 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Mar 19 $2 +$5 +331%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs Mar 19 $192 −$192 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 13? Mar 19 $30 −$30 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 13? Mar 13 $130 +$62 +48%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 11? Mar 11 $34 −$12 -34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 52% −$82
crypto 30% +$92
sports 18% −$220
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes $17 11m
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes $4 1h
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes $15 1h
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes $24 2d
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes $18 2d
Will Antonio Rüdiger score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 14¢ $15 2d
Will Germany reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 20¢ $19 2d
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 39¢ $27 2d
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 36¢ $51 2d
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $52 2d
Will Antonio Rüdiger score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $3 3d
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes $10 3d
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes $10 3d
Will Germany reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 25¢ $26 3d
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 48¢ $34 3d
Will Antonio Rüdiger score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $15 3d
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 40¢ $58 3d
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes $15 3d
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes $15 3d
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $57 3d
Will Antonio Rüdiger score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 17¢ $10 3d
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes $13 3d
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes $14 3d
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 36¢ $46 3d
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $52 3d
Will Antonio Rüdiger score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 3d
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 39¢ $51 3d
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $57 3d
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes $15 3d
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes $15 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -12.9% -21.2% 0% 0% -20.5%
≤30d 11 -12.6% -20.9% 9% 9% -19.0%
≤90d 31 -5.8% -14.7% 29% 29% -27.4%
all 33 -5.0% -14.0% 30% 30% -22.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.0% 30% -22.2%
10% -22.3% 30% -29.7%
15% -29.8% 30% -36.5%
20% -36.7% 24% -42.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 107 history records