Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:02:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa021…754a
crypto · 79 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$71 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$26 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses63 / 16
Open positions0
Markets (closed)79 / 79
History coverage1d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day201.4
Drawdown66%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 79 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$26
7 days+$26
14 days+$26
30 days+$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$5 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$7 +36%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$4 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$31
other 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $6 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +70%
net ROI/market (all)-5.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 +4.3% -5.7% 80% 70% -6.3%
≤30d 79 +4.3% -5.7% 80% 70% -6.3%
≤90d 79 +4.3% -5.7% 80% 70% -6.3%
all 79 +4.3% -5.7% 80% 70% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover201.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.7% 70% -6.3%
10% ← realistic here -14.7% 48% -15.3%
15% -22.9% 11% -23.5%
20% -30.5% 3% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 224 history records