Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T01:26:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A0 0xa017…ac57 crypto 267 markets active 1h ago coverage 10d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Total PnL −$1,163 (-7%) realized −$369 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate92%250W / 21L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$58per market
Trades / day310.7pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$286
7 days−$286
14 days−$369
30 days−$369
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$78
other 1% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-3.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 -9.5% -18.2% 89% 0% -29.4%
≤30d 271 +6.9% -3.3% 92% 5% -12.0%
≤90d 271 +6.9% -3.3% 92% 5% -12.0%
all 271 +6.9% -3.3% 92% 5% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover310.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.3% 5% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -12.5% 2% -20.4%
15% -21.0% 2% -28.1%
20% -28.7% 2% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 25% · top 2 45% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
94% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +7% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +20% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
12.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$56 · ×0.06 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.69 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$369
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses250 / 21
Open positions0
Markets (closed)271 / 267
History coverage10d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day310.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 271 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 11AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Down 100¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 3AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 9AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $148 $0 −$148 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 11AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $135 $0 −$135 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 3AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 3AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 4PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Down 100¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 11PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 12PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 9AM ET Jun 15 $148 −$148 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9AM ET Jun 15 $135 −$135 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7PM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $414 +$3 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $95 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $80 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5PM ET Jun 14 $65 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5PM ET Jun 14 $70 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4PM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4AM ET Jun 05 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3AM ET Jun 05 $5 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 05 $210 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 05 $145 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 05 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 05 $337 +$3 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 05 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 05 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 05 $301 −$300 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 05 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 05 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records