Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T01:43:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A0 0xa012…434d crypto 761 markets active 1h ago coverage 21d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (96 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$164 (-3%) realized −$164 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR36%break-even
Win rate60%456W / 305L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day96.0pace
Fees−$9est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$57
7 days−$47
14 days−$32
30 days−$302
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 87% −$207
sports 11% −$60
other 2% −$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (96 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 196 -0.4% -9.9% 61% 38% -11.3%
≤30d 761 -3.0% -12.2% 60% 36% -14.8%
≤90d 761 -3.0% -12.2% 60% 36% -14.8%
all 761 -3.0% -12.2% 60% 36% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover96.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 36% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 24% -22.9%
15% -28.3% 18% -30.4%
20% -35.3% 14% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
39% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late +2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.47 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.71 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

21d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$164
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses456 / 305
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)761 / 761
History coverage21d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day96.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 761 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $14 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -40%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 16 $16 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 16 $18 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8PM ET Jun 16 $14 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $12 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $32 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $16 +$3 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$2 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $13 −$6 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $32 +$13 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $7 −$3 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $45 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 16 $37 −$2 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 16 $27 −$1 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $13 −$6 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $30 −$4 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 16 $12 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7PM ET Jun 16 $88 −$48 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 16 $27 −$7 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $15 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $16 +$19 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $40 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 16 $46 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$8 -87%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +104%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$4 -66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $1 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $15 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $23 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2767 history records