trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -14.9% | -23.0% | 50% | 25% | -32.6% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -28.3% | -35.2% | 36% | 27% | -32.6% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -12.5% | -20.8% | 54% | 42% | -24.5% |
| all | 26 | -12.5% | -20.8% | 54% | 42% | -24.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.8% | 42% | -24.5% |
| 10% | -28.4% | 38% | -31.7% |
| 15% | -35.3% | 12% | -38.3% |
| 20% | -41.7% | 8% | -44.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $333 | −$330 | -99% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score | Jun 13 | $174 | −$7 | -4% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $173 | +$3 | +2% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $236 | +$101 | +43% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? | Jun 07 | $205 | −$160 | -78% |
| Will Romania vs. Wales end in a draw? | Jun 06 | $110 | −$53 | -48% |
| Will Chile win on 2026-06-06? | Jun 06 | $31 | −$27 | -87% |
| Will Portugal vs. Chile end in a draw? | Jun 06 | $31 | −$14 | -45% |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | Jun 04 | $110 | −$110 | -100% |
| Will France vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 04 | $119 | +$17 | +14% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | May 30 | $164 | +$151 | +92% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09? | May 09 | $496 | −$385 | -78% |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07? | May 07 | $158 | −$124 | -78% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 06 | $111 | −$12 | -11% |
| FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5 | May 06 | $177 | −$177 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? | May 05 | $183 | +$45 | +25% |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? | Apr 30 | $157 | +$39 | +25% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | Apr 29 | $173 | +$60 | +35% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27? | Apr 27 | $130 | +$42 | +33% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026? | Apr 24 | $497 | +$25 | +5% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Apr 23 | $369 | +$130 | +35% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Apr 21 | $90 | +$21 | +24% |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Apr 16 | $126 | −$35 | -28% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 15 | $105 | +$24 | +22% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Apr 15 | $100 | +$6 | +6% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | Apr 14 | $20 | +$14 | +72% |