Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:05:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9F 0x9fff…6a88 economics 7 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$5 (+1%) realized +$5 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 2L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$133per market
Trades / day33.6pace
Kalshi-fit86%portable
Net worth$5now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
world 66% −$6
other 18% −$20
economics 16% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -6.8% -15.7% 0% 0% -14.0%
≤30d 2 -6.8% -15.7% 0% 0% -14.0%
≤90d 2 -6.8% -15.7% 0% 0% -14.0%
all 2 -6.8% -15.7% 0% 0% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover33.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.7% 0% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -23.8% 0% -22.3%
15% -31.1% 0% -29.8%
20% -37.9% 0% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
6.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$13 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$5
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 2
Open positions5
Markets (closed)2 / 7
History coverage2d
Avg bet$133
Trades / day33.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 5 History 2 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes 25¢ 26¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+2%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? Yes 65¢ 64¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-3%)
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes 42¢ 50¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+18%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? No 27¢ 26¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 16¢ 18¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+9%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? Jun 20 $353 −$6 -2%
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? Jun 20 $164 −$20 -12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? BUY Yes 25¢ $3 10m
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL Yes 16¢ $7 31m
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY Yes 16¢ $7 35m
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL Yes 16¢ $5 42m
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 50m
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 27¢ $74 1h
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 27¢ $9 1h
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 27¢ $11 1h
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 27¢ $54 1h
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 26¢ $104 3h
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $0 3h
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $73 3h
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 3h
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 3h
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 24¢ $24 3h
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 24¢ $0 4h
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 23¢ $65 4h
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 27¢ $78 4h
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 23¢ $0 4h
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? SELL Yes 25¢ $12 4h
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? SELL Yes 30¢ $74 5h
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? BUY Yes 32¢ $79 5h
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? BUY Yes 25¢ $4 5h
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 24¢ $81 5h
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 23¢ $8 5h
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 23¢ $71 5h
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? BUY Yes 25¢ $3 6h
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? BUY Yes 25¢ $5 6h
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 24¢ $24 6h
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? SELL Yes 24¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.85 · official $3.66 · 65 history records