Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:05:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9fff…740f
sports · 367 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$569 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$586 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Net worth$25
Realized−$586
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses200 / 163
Whale WR (big bets)70%
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions4
Markets (closed)363 / 367
History coverage690d
Avg bet$77
Trades / day1.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 4 History 363 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$63
14 days+$41
30 days+$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) Sean OMalley 79¢ 78¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-0%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Alex Pereira 50¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Team Spirit 56¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Yandex 59¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage BetBoom Team 50¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Team Falcons 41¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage LGD Gaming 30¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Falcons 83¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will Team Falcons win DreamLeague Season 29? Yes 13¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Xtreme Gaming 76¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs South America Rejects (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A South America Rejects 81¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner REKONIX 25¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B PARIVISION 85¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage GLYPH 26¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BetBoom Team 51¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Team Liquid 62¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage GLYPH 24¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Tundra Esports 44¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs Vici Gaming 84¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Spirit 64¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Natus Vincere 63¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage GLYPH 39¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B Zero Tenacity 51¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $13 +$7 +54%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $8 −$5 -60%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $7 −$2 -26%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $6 +$6 +97%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$5 +44%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $2 −$1 -61%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $5 +$5 +88%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $36 +$62 +172%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $18 +$2 +11%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $18 +$2 +12%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $20 +$3 +14%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $11 −$11 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $7 +$3 +50%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $6 −$6 -99%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $22 −$22 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $11 +$9 +86%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qual May 30 $4 −$4 -98%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner May 30 $6 −$6 -99%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $5 +$3 +62%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $10 +$3 +27%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $15 $0 -1%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $6 +$4 +62%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $20 +$5 +23%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $5 −$5 -99%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $5 −$5 -99%
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $3 +$2 +65%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $4 +$2 +60%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $3 +$7 +238%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $6 +$4 +55%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $6 +$4 +55%
Dota 2: OG vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $3 −$3 -94%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $4 −$3 -99%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $4 −$4 -99%
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $8 +$2 +32%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $8 +$2 +24%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $6 −$6 -99%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $4 −$4 -98%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $4 −$4 -99%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $10 +$5 +50%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $3 +$2 +60%
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $7 +$3 +34%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $4 +$6 +180%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $7 +$3 +46%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $6 −$6 -98%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $5 −$5 -98%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $8 −$8 -98%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $2 −$2 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 26 $16 +$4 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 41% +$143
other 18% +$313
world 17% −$121
politics 13% −$556
culture 6% −$164
economics 2% −$26
finance 1% −$58
tech 0% −$119
crypto 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $20 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 21¢ $3 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $8 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 45¢ $5 7h
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main BUY Sean OMalley 79¢ $9 14h
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Alex Pereira 50¢ $5 14h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $13 14h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $7 14h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $7 27h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 27h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $6 2d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $11 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks $1 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 12¢ $2 3d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $10 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 66¢ $10 5d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 34¢ $5 5d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY LGD Gaming 36¢ $36 6d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY LGD Gaming 38¢ $5 6d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Team Yandex 100¢ $20 6d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Yandex 90¢ $18 6d
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs SELL Aurora 40¢ $4 7d
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY Aurora 51¢ $5 7d
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs SELL LGD Gaming 57¢ $17 7d
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL LGD Gaming 100¢ $23 7d
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY LGD Gaming 88¢ $20 7d
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 44¢ $13 7d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY BetBoom Team 52¢ $5 7d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY BetBoom Team 51¢ $6 7d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 66¢ $7 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-21.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +10.9% +0.4% 55% 55% +37.4%
≤30d 76 -7.7% -16.4% 54% 54% -4.8%
≤90d 166 -21.8% -29.2% 48% 45% -7.2%
all 363 -13.4% -21.6% 55% 38% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.6% 38% -11.4%
10% -29.1% 29% -19.9%
15% -36.0% 19% -27.6%
20% -42.3% 12% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24.97 · official $24.97 (match) · 1148 history records