Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T21:17:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.0
score
9F 0x9ff1…4766 sports 272 markets active 22h ago coverage 114d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFresh edge
✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$770 (+19%) realized +$770 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt +16% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +1% what you keep after slip
Net edge+1%after slip
Net WR56%break-even
Win rate58%159W / 113L
Drawdown26%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day3.7pace
Fees−$19est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$41
14 days+$36
30 days+$112
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$754
politics 0% $0
world 0% +$3
crypto 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)+4.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +26.7% +14.6% 63% 63% +13.3%
≤30d 44 +16.9% +5.8% 59% 59% +15.4%
≤90d 179 +27.9% +15.7% 61% 58% +18.7%
all 272 +15.8% +4.8% 58% 56% +7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +4.8% 56% +7.7%
10% -5.2% 49% -2.6%
15% -14.4% 43% -12.0%
20% -22.8% 36% -20.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +31% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +16% · $-wt +19% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +14% → late +18% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$13 vs −$11 · ×1.13 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.6 per $1 lost it wins $1.6
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

114d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$770
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses159 / 113
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)272 / 272
History coverage114d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day3.7
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 272 Trades
no open positions (96 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Poznan: Martin Krumich vs Alan Wazny Jun 16 $8 +$2 +24%
Royan: Yanki Erel vs Ryo Tabata Jun 15 $8 −$8 -99%
Brescia: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 15 $8 +$18 +226%
Nottingham Open: Himeno Sakatsume vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Jun 15 $10 −$10 -98%
Nottingham Open: McCartney Kessler vs Katie Volynets Jun 15 $5 −$5 -99%
T20 Blast, League 2, Women: Sussex Sharks vs Gloucestershire Jun 14 $8 +$7 +97%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $7 +$1 +21%
ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Kira Pavlova Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Malawi Jun 13 $6 +$1 +11%
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Weronika Falkowska Jun 13 $9 +$4 +44%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates Jun 13 $10 +$10 +97%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 13 $10 +$10 +97%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 13 $10 +$15 +146%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 13 $10 +$15 +146%
HSBC Championships: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 13 $10 +$23 +225%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Indonesia vs Thailand Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
ITF Zagreb: Briana Szabo vs Rositsa Dencheva Jun 09 $6 −$6 -97%
ITF Wuning: Chenting Zhu vs Daria Khomutsianskaya Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Cattolica: Pierluigi Basile vs Raul Brancaccio Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Lyon: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Dali Blanch Jun 07 $3 $0 -2%
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands Jun 07 $4 +$2 +60%
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Tung-Lin Wu Jun 07 $8 +$2 +29%
Birmingham: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Linda Klimovicova Jun 07 $8 +$6 +73%
ITF Caserta: Federica Urgesi vs Alessandra Mazzola Jun 07 $9 +$6 +65%
Birmingham: Sho Shimabukuro vs Elias Ymer Jun 07 $10 +$10 +97%
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indies Jun 07 $5 +$16 +291%
Birmingham: Mackenzie McDonald vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Jun 07 $10 +$15 +152%
Tyler: Murphy Cassone vs Yuta Shimizu Jun 04 $10 −$10 -98%
Tyler: Landon Ardila vs Timo Legout Jun 04 $6 −$6 -98%
Centurion 2: Robin Bertrand vs Giles Hussey Jun 04 $10 −$10 -98%
Centurion 2: Alec Beckley vs Tuncay Duran Jun 03 $2 −$2 -98%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Oman Jun 03 $7 −$7 -98%
Foggia: Despina Papamichail vs Chloe Paquet Jun 01 $5 −$5 -98%
Sarasota: Hugo Dellien vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri May 22 $7 +$3 +48%
Madrid: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Carol Young Suh Lee May 22 $12 +$12 +101%
Monza: Dino Prizmic vs Billy Harris May 22 $20 +$5 +23%
Wuning: Clement Chidekh vs Buvaysar Gadamauri May 22 $20 +$10 +50%
Sarasota: Kilian Feldbausch vs Cannon Kingsley May 22 $20 +$11 +57%
Madrid: Nerman Fatic vs Franco Agamenone May 22 $20 +$16 +79%
Sarasota: Duje Ajdukovic vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg May 22 $20 +$23 +114%
T20 Series Indonesia vs Sweden: Indonesia vs Sweden Apr 09 $7 −$7 -98%
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Tamara Korpatsch vs Anastasia Potapova Apr 09 $16 −$16 -98%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Bublik Apr 08 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Apr 08 $1 +$1 +109%
Wuning: Clement Chidekh vs Yuki Mochizuki Apr 08 $4 +$1 +16%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Punjab Kings Apr 08 $7 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Poznan: Martin Krumich vs Alan Wazny BUY Martin Krumich 80¢ $8 22h
Royan: Yanki Erel vs Ryo Tabata BUY Yanki Erel 77¢ $8 22h
Nottingham Open: Himeno Sakatsume vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro BUY Himeno Sakatsume 36¢ $10 31h
Nottingham Open: McCartney Kessler vs Katie Volynets BUY McCartney Kessler 53¢ $5 32h
Brescia: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Nuria Brancaccio BUY Ekaterine Gorgodze 30¢ $8 33h
T20 Blast, League 2, Women: Sussex Sharks vs Gloucestershire BUY Sussex Sharks 50¢ $8 2d
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates BUY Thailand 50¢ $10 3d
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang BUY Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 50¢ $10 4d
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang BUY Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 50¢ $10 4d
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Indonesia vs Thailand BUY Indonesia 14¢ $3 5d
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 50¢ $10 5d
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 82¢ $7 5d
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Malawi BUY Rwanda 90¢ $6 5d
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 36¢ $10 5d
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 40¢ $10 5d
ITF Zagreb: Briana Szabo vs Rositsa Dencheva BUY Briana Szabo 11¢ $6 7d
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Weronika Falkowska BUY Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 69¢ $9 7d
HSBC Championships: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Marta Kostyuk BUY Mika Stojsavljevic 15¢ $10 7d
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Christopher O'Connell BUY Darwin Blanch 40¢ $10 7d
ITF Wuning: Chenting Zhu vs Daria Khomutsianskaya BUY Chenting Zhu 25¢ $1 7d
ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Kira Pavlova BUY Yidi Yang 57¢ $3 7d
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Otto Virtanen 50¢ $10 8d
Cattolica: Pierluigi Basile vs Raul Brancaccio BUY Pierluigi Basile 40¢ $10 8d
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez BUY Katie Boulter 50¢ $10 8d
Lyon: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Dali Blanch BUY Pol Martin Tiffon 50¢ $3 9d
ITF Caserta: Federica Urgesi vs Alessandra Mazzola BUY Federica Urgesi 60¢ $9 9d
Tyler: Murphy Cassone vs Yuta Shimizu BUY Murphy Cassone 50¢ $10 12d
Tyler: Landon Ardila vs Timo Legout BUY Landon Ardila 31¢ $6 12d
Centurion 2: Robin Bertrand vs Giles Hussey BUY Robin Bertrand 40¢ $10 12d
Birmingham: Sho Shimabukuro vs Elias Ymer BUY Sho Shimabukuro 50¢ $10 12d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 593 history records