Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:16:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9fe2…6829
sports · 212 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$341 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$429 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$135
Realized−$429
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses173 / 38
Est. fees paid−$267
Open positions1
Markets (closed)211 / 212
History coverage50d
Avg bet$89
Trades / day18.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 211 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$34
7 days+$21
14 days+$39
30 days−$258
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5 Under 91¢ 88¢ $139 $135 −$4 (-3%)
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 4.5 Under 85¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5 Under 38¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5 Under 75¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5 Under 66¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5 Under 80¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Alexander Bublik 65¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5 Under 73¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5 Over 45¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Vasteraas SK vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 3.5 Under 71¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5) FC Porto 48¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Under 55¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5 Under 72¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5 Under 80¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5 Under 76¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-2.5) FC Augsburg 84¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
CD La Serena vs. CSD Colo-Colo: O/U 3.5 Under 78¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5 Under 12¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5 Under 25¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5 Under 26¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5 Under 68¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5 Under 87¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5 Under 82¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5 Under 10¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $135 +$4 +3%
Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $256 +$8 +3%
Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $128 +$2 +2%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $105 +$19 +18%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $102 +$3 +3%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $100 +$2 +2%
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $388 −$28 -7%
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $134 +$5 +3%
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $125 +$5 +4%
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $87 +$2 +2%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 5.5 Jun 07 $90 +$3 +3%
Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $105 +$3 +3%
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $89 +$3 +3%
CD Leganés vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 2.5 May 31 $198 +$4 +2%
Córdoba CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 2.5 May 31 $100 +$4 +4%
CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 4.5 May 31 $101 +$2 +2%
SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 3.5 May 31 $99 +$2 +2%
CD Huachipato vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 3.5 May 31 $95 +$3 +3%
Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5 May 31 $174 +$7 +4%
Burgos CF vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5 May 31 $87 +$2 +2%
CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 4.5 May 31 $88 +$2 +2%
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5 May 31 $82 −$82 -100%
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 4.5 May 31 $83 +$3 +3%
Degerfors IF vs. IF Brommapojkarna: O/U 3.5 May 31 $78 +$4 +5%
BK Hacken vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 4.5 May 31 $79 +$3 +3%
Vasteraas SK vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 3.5 May 31 $72 −$71 -99%
CF Universidad de Chile vs. CD Concepción: O/U 3.5 May 30 $72 +$2 +3%
Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5 May 30 $121 +$4 +3%
EC Bahia vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 4.5 May 30 $97 +$3 +3%
CD La Serena vs. CSD Colo-Colo: O/U 3.5 May 30 $160 −$76 -48%
CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5 May 30 $80 +$3 +3%
CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5 May 30 $128 +$5 +4%
Avaí FC vs. Criciúma EC: O/U 3.5 May 30 $62 +$2 +3%
AC Goianiense vs. Goiás EC: O/U 3.5 May 30 $63 +$2 +3%
CA Paranaense vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5 May 30 $81 +$3 +3%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 May 30 $225 +$5 +2%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5 May 30 $184 +$6 +3%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5 May 27 $172 +$5 +3%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 May 27 $140 +$4 +3%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5 May 27 $91 +$3 +3%
Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 2.5 May 26 $83 +$1 +1%
Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 3.5 May 26 $174 +$8 +5%
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5 May 24 $177 +$3 +2%
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5 May 24 $128 +$5 +4%
AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5 May 24 $73 −$13 -17%
US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5 May 24 $35 +$2 +7%
AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 5.5 May 24 $72 +$3 +4%
US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5 May 24 $30 +$2 +7%
US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5 May 24 $70 +$2 +3%
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5 May 24 $71 +$3 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$461
other 0% +$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 91¢ $140 1m
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 78¢ $119 3m
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 78¢ $20 3m
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 75¢ $135 29m
Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 90¢ $135 38m
Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 87¢ $131 46m
Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 95¢ $1 49m
Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 95¢ $129 49m
Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 93¢ $128 1h
Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 76¢ $0 1h
Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 76¢ $93 1h
Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 76¢ $35 1h
Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 73¢ $125 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $125 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 84¢ $105 4h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 82¢ $4 2d
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 82¢ $1 2d
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 82¢ $100 2d
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 79¢ $102 2d
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 76¢ $101 4d
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 76¢ $1 4d
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 74¢ $100 4d
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 89¢ $98 4d
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 85¢ $137 4d
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 81¢ $0 5d
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 81¢ $139 5d
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 78¢ $134 5d
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 96¢ $134 5d
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 93¢ $130 5d
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 59¢ $130 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-6.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -3.0% -12.3% 89% 11% -7.9%
≤30d 88 -5.5% -14.5% 89% 3% -12.3%
≤90d 211 +3.9% -6.0% 82% 17% -11.7%
all 211 +3.9% -6.0% 82% 17% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.0% 17% -11.7%
10% -15.0% 2% -20.2%
15% -23.2% 1% -27.9%
20% -30.7% 1% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $135.40 · official $135.40 (match) · 928 history records