Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9fdd…dd29
crypto · 1775 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$340 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$339 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$339
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses1341 / 602
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1943 / 1775
History coverage35d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day60.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1943 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$329
7 days−$287
14 days−$292
30 days−$316
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-20.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 952 -18.6% -26.4% 69% 37% -28.6%
≤30d 1509 -13.6% -21.8% 68% 40% -24.0%
≤90d 1943 -11.7% -20.1% 69% 39% -22.1%
all 1943 -11.7% -20.1% 69% 39% -22.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover60.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.1% 39% -22.1%
10% ← realistic here -27.7% 22% -29.5%
15% -34.7% 16% -36.3%
20% -41.1% 11% -42.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.01 (match) · 3500 history records