Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:18:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9fd7…b157
sports · 5 markets active 2h ago
6.0score
+$10 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$69
Realized+$11
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)3 / 5
History coverage2d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day2.6
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$11
14 days+$11
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Switzerland 35¢ 34¢ $40 $39 −$1 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Over 24¢ 24¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-2%)
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) Korea Republic $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $5 +$7 +146%
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $5 +$7 +140%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 24¢ $31 2h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Switzerland 35¢ $41 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 40¢ $5 15h
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) BUY Korea Republic $3 39h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 41¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+46.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +61.7% +46.3% 67% 67% +69.1%
≤30d 3 +61.7% +46.3% 67% 67% +69.1%
≤90d 3 +61.7% +46.3% 67% 67% +69.1%
all 3 +61.7% +46.3% 67% 67% +69.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +46.3% 67% +69.1%
10% +32.3% 67% +53.0%
15% +19.6% 67% +38.2%
20% +7.8% 67% +24.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $68.79 · official $68.80 (match) · 7 history records