Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:09:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9fd4…dd63
crypto · 54 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$115 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$115 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$115
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses26 / 28
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)54 / 54
History coverage2d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day41.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 54 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$111
7 days−$115
14 days−$115
30 days−$115
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 71¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$10 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$9 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$10 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$4 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$6 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$10 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +50%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $34 −$24 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $25 −$25 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $22 +$3 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% −$73
other 13% −$17
sports 12% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-33.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 -26.9% -33.9% 48% 37% -31.4%
≤30d 54 -26.9% -33.9% 48% 37% -31.4%
≤90d 54 -26.9% -33.9% 48% 37% -31.4%
all 54 -26.9% -33.9% 48% 37% -31.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.9% 37% -31.4%
10% ← realistic here -40.2% 20% -38.0%
15% -46.0% 17% -44.0%
20% -51.3% 9% -49.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 149 history records