trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +118.7% | +97.9% | 100% | 100% | +64.9% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +25.4% | +13.5% | 55% | 55% | -68.1% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +8.6% | -1.7% | 65% | 54% | -14.0% |
| all | 26 | +8.6% | -1.7% | 65% | 54% | -14.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.7% | 54% | -14.0% |
| 10% | -11.1% | 42% | -22.3% |
| 15% | -19.7% | 27% | -29.8% |
| 20% | -27.6% | 23% | -36.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 89¢ | 88¢ | $90 | $89 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $1 | +$2 | +194% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 15 | $7 | +$7 | +93% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $14 | +$10 | +69% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on June 8? | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| China PR vs. Thailand: Both Teams to Score | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 10 | $5 | +$5 | +93% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 10 | $10 | +$28 | +276% |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8? | Jun 08 | $5 | +$3 | +54% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? | Jun 07 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03? | Jun 07 | $201 | −$201 | -100% |
| Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election? | May 06 | $58 | +$10 | +18% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | May 06 | $66 | −$15 | -22% |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Apr 29 | $152 | +$21 | +14% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Apr 29 | $230 | +$66 | +29% |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15? | Apr 27 | $88 | −$47 | -54% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Apr 22 | $54 | +$19 | +35% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April? | Apr 22 | $30 | +$12 | +38% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in Ap | Apr 22 | $30 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17? | Apr 18 | $30 | +$6 | +21% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | Apr 17 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in t | Apr 13 | $189 | +$51 | +27% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | Apr 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | Apr 11 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | Apr 11 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | Apr 11 | $8 | +$2 | +30% |