Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:39:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9fd1…65de
crypto · 294 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$25 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses203 / 91
Open positions0
Markets (closed)294 / 294
History coverage73d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day5.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 294 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$32
14 days+$25
30 days−$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $9 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $8 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $10 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-18.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 97 -6.4% -15.3% 85% 23% -5.7%
≤30d 290 -10.9% -19.4% 69% 46% -11.3%
≤90d 294 -10.1% -18.7% 69% 47% -10.4%
all 294 -10.1% -18.7% 69% 47% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.7% 47% -10.4%
10% -26.5% 26% -19.0%
15% -33.6% 9% -26.8%
20% -40.1% 4% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 541 history records