Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:20:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9fb5…d972
sports · 1843 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,108 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,108 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$13
Realized−$1,108
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses1368 / 723
Est. fees paid−$45
Open positions2
Markets (closed)2091 / 1843
History coverage77d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day36.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 2 History 2091 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,162
7 days−$1,112
14 days−$1,054
30 days−$1,022
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5 Under 93¢ 92¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5 Over 88¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Washington State vs. Oregon State Washington State 69¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Ecuador win on 2025-11-13? Yes 22¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
FC Fredericia vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5 Over 73¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
New York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 175.5 Under 53¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-11-04? Yes 44¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-04-23? Yes 59¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Mali win on 2025-12-22? Yes 58¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 54¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5 Under 87¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw? Yes 34¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
FC Groningen vs. NAC Breda: O/U 1.5 Over 76¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will CA Lanús win on 2025-11-03? Yes 29¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5 Under 87¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
West Ham United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5 Over 62¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
ASC Oțelul Galați vs. FC UTA Arad: O/U 1.5 Over 58¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Aarhus GF win on 2025-11-09? Yes 61¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-05-10? Yes 46¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies Grizzlies 43¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Odense BK vs. Vejle BK: O/U 1.5 Over 59¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 218.5 Over 55¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Jazz vs. Grizzlies Jazz 71¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5 Over 61¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Washington State vs. Oregon State Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Ecuador win on 2025-11-13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
FC Fredericia vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-11-04? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Mali win on 2025-12-22? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
FC Groningen vs. NAC Breda: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will CA Lanús win on 2025-11-03? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
West Ham United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Aarhus GF win on 2025-11-09? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Jazz vs. Grizzlies Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Celtics vs. Trail Blazers Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 214.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Beşiktaş JK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Bologna win on 2025-10-29? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Jiangxi Open: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Hanyu Guo Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
AFC Ajax vs. FC Volendam: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Pelicans vs. Jazz Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
FC Volendam vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
CD Tolima vs. Atlético Nacional: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Rockets vs. Kings Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Nets vs. 76ers Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Torino FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Racing Club win on 2025-10-29? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-07? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
AA Argentinos Juniors vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
FC Utrecht vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2025-10-26? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Mavericks vs. Nuggets Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bucks vs. Lakers Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-12-25? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will FC Nantes win on 2025-11-02? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Jazz vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Sporting Kansas City vs. San Diego FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Jiangxi Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Viktorija Golubic Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Atlas FC vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
76ers vs. Pelicans Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% +$75
other 11% −$14
crypto 0% +$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 93¢ $3 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $7 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $3 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 94¢ $3 14h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 63¢ $2 14h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 55¢ $3 14h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 82¢ $3 14h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 BUY Over 64¢ $10 14h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 BUY Over 77¢ $10 14h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 94¢ $3 15h
OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 91¢ $3 25h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire BUY Las Vegas Aces 94¢ $3 37h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5 BUY Under 77¢ $3 38h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 79¢ $3 39h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 91¢ $3 39h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings BUY Dallas Wings 75¢ $3 39h
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) BUY South Africa 81¢ $10 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5 SELL Over 100¢ $4 2d
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) BUY Spurs 90¢ $3 2d
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 170.5 BUY Under 80¢ $3 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 95¢ $9 2d
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo SELL Toronto Tempo 100¢ $16 2d
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo BUY Toronto Tempo 65¢ $6 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5 BUY Over 70¢ $3 2d
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) BUY Spurs 74¢ $10 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 BUY Over 75¢ $3 2d
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo BUY Toronto Tempo 49¢ $3 2d
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo SELL Connecticut Sun 51¢ $2 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5 BUY Over 75¢ $3 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 59¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-22.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 361 -81.6% -83.3% 14% 11% -73.6%
≤30d 693 -40.1% -45.8% 46% 32% -39.8%
≤90d 2091 -14.4% -22.6% 65% 42% -22.0%
all 2091 -14.4% -22.6% 65% 42% -22.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.6% 42% -22.0%
10% ← realistic here -30.0% 25% -29.5%
15% -36.7% 17% -36.3%
20% -42.9% 13% -42.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.62 · official $12.62 (match) · 3500 history records