Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:48:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9fb2…d487
crypto · 1467 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$7,096 +22%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,115 · open −$19
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized+$7,115
Unrealized−$19
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses737 / 499
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1236 / 1467
History coverage5d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day532.6
Drawdown34%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1236 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,383
7 days+$7,116
14 days+$7,116
30 days+$7,116
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 53¢ 16¢ $27 $8 −$19 (-71%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$10,706
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $27 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $17 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $12 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $27 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $24 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $21 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $8 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $19 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $27 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $9 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $22 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $0 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $17 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 53m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+6.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1236 +17.3% +6.1% 60% 60% +17.1%
≤30d 1236 +17.3% +6.1% 60% 60% +17.1%
≤90d 1236 +17.3% +6.1% 60% 60% +17.1%
all 1236 +17.3% +6.1% 60% 60% +17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover532.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.1% 60% +17.1%
10% ← realistic here -4.0% 60% +5.9%
15% -13.3% 60% -4.3%
20% -21.8% 60% -13.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.90 · official $13.24 · 3500 history records