Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:38:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9fac…c50d
crypto · 1215 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$16,897 -251%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16,889 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$16,889
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses656 / 498
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1154 / 1215
History coverage15d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day193.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1154 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19,106
7 days−$18,257
14 days−$16,982
30 days−$16,889
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $8 $15 +$7 (+95%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 12AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $241 $0 −$241 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 2AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 10AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $226 $0 −$226 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 12AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $375 $0 −$375 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 12AM ET Jun 13 $241 −$241 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 2AM ET Jun 13 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $82 −$82 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 10AM ET Jun 13 $226 −$226 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 12AM ET Jun 13 $375 −$375 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $86 −$86 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $158 −$158 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11AM ET Jun 13 $536 −$536 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 1PM ET Jun 13 $92 −$92 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $130 −$130 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 5AM ET Jun 13 $171 −$171 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,547
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-3.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 735 -24.3% -31.5% 41% 41% -87.1%
≤30d 1154 +6.4% -3.7% 57% 57% -74.3%
≤90d 1154 +6.4% -3.7% 57% 57% -74.3%
all 1154 +6.4% -3.7% 57% 57% -74.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover193.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.7% 57% -74.3%
10% ← realistic here -12.9% 57% -76.8%
15% -21.4% 57% -79.0%
20% -29.1% 57% -81.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.01 · official $15.01 (match) · 3500 history records